Idaho

21-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Idaho

34.8%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -187

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho 81

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreSacramento State 77

Team Comparison

IdahoMetricSacramento State

53.2MMH Power Index43

111.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

104.3Defensive Efficiency112.0

7.3Net Efficiency-5.9

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.9

4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

69.7Tempo73.2

52.8%Effective FG%48.5%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.2%

29.5%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

34.6%Free Throw Rate41.8%

5.1Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.3–112.0), net efficiency (7.3–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.4), ball security (14.2–15.1), free throw rate (41.8–34.6).

Final

Idaho

86—80

Sacramento State

Idaho by 6 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IdahoTEAM STATSacramento State

26-62FG23-55

42.0%FG%42.0%

14-343PT6-19

41.0%3PT%32.0%

20-27FT28-33

74.0%FT%85.0%

49Rebounds28

18Offensive Rebounds5

17Assists13

16Turnovers8

5Steals9

2Blocks1

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Biko Johnson	G	30	7-15	6-11	5-7	9	2	0	0	25
Jackson Rasmussen	F	36	6-7	1-1	5-6	6	2	1	0	18
Brody Rowbury	F	19	4-10	2-3	4-6	6	2	0	1	14
Isaiah Brickner	G	30	4-14	2-7	1-2	4	2	1	0	11
Jack Payne	G	20	3-7	2-5	2-2	6	1	1	0	10
Kolton Mitchell	G	34	1-3	0-2	3-4	4	5	1	0	5
Ewan Steele	F	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	4	3	0	1	3
Miles Klapper	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Seth Joba	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trevon Blassingame	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Aidan Sevilla	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Lavrenov	F	39	7-15	0-2	6-6	12	0	1	0	20
Prophet Johnson	G	34	6-14	2-5	1-1	3	6	5	0	15
Arman Madi	G	33	3-6	1-2	8-10	1	2	1	0	15
Jahni Summers	G	32	3-7	1-3	4-6	2	2	0	0	11
Taj Glover	G	11	2-3	1-2	5-6	1	1	0	1	10
Romari Robinson	G	26	1-5	0-3	2-2	6	0	2	0	4
Jayden Teat	G	6	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Shaqir O'Neal	F	19	0-2	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

117.3Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.1Defensive Efficiency117.3

8.2Net Efficiency-8.2

53.2%Effective FG%47.3%

57.5%True Shooting %56.6%

22.0%Turnover Rate10.9%

43.5%Free Throw Rate60.0%

54.8%3-Point Rate34.5%

1.06Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Idaho won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.