UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.1%UC Santa Barbara

69.9%Hawai'i

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHawai'i -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEHawai'i -232

Hawai'i

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 73

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreHawai'i 80

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricHawai'i

51.4MMH Power Index54.4

113.2Offensive Efficiency109.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency97.0

7.1Net Efficiency12.4

-2.0Strength of Schedule-2.8

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

68.5Tempo72.8

54.8%Effective FG%52.4%

18.7%Turnover Rate18.4%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

37.9%Free Throw Rate43.4%

4.8Average Margin9.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hawai'i HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHawai'i holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–51.4), defensive efficiency (97.0–106.1), net efficiency (12.4–7.1), ball security (18.4–18.7).

UC Santa Barbara COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.2–109.4), strength of schedule (-2.0–-2.8), recent form (-1.7–-1.8).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

75—78

Hawai'i

Hawai'i by 3 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATHawai'i

25-58FG25-58

43.0%FG%43.0%

7-203PT5-18

35.0%3PT%28.0%

18-23FT23-34

78.0%FT%68.0%

35Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists6

12Turnovers9

4Steals5

1Blocks2

27Fouls19

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colin Smith	F	40	5-8	1-1	8-9	8	0	1	0	19
Aidan Mahaney	G	39	7-20	2-8	0-0	3	5	0	0	16
Marvin McGhee IV	G	33	3-8	2-5	4-4	11	2	2	0	12
Hosana Kitenge	F	26	4-5	0-0	0-1	2	4	0	0	8
CJ Shaw	G	39	1-7	1-3	4-4	2	1	1	0	7
Zion Sensley	G	27	3-5	1-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	7
Evans Kipruto	C	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Michael Simcoe	F	11	0-2	0-0	2-5	3	0	0	1	2

Hawai'i

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dre Bullock	G	36	7-16	1-4	6-9	7	1	3	0	21
Isaiah Kerr	G	32	5-11	2-5	5-5	1	1	1	0	17
Harry Rouhliadeff	F	22	4-6	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	0	10
Isaac Finlinson	F	28	4-8	0-1	1-2	3	1	0	0	9
Hunter Erickson	G	39	3-7	1-3	1-2	6	2	0	1	8
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	35	2-4	1-3	2-3	4	1	0	0	7
Isaac Johnson	C	23	0-5	0-2	5-6	5	0	1	1	5
Yacine Toumi	F	10	0-1	0-0	1-4	1	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

101.2Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency101.2

-4.0Net Efficiency4.0

49.1%Effective FG%47.4%

54.4%True Shooting %52.6%

16.2%Turnover Rate12.1%

39.7%Free Throw Rate58.6%

34.5%3-Point Rate31.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Hawai'i won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.