Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Northern Kentucky

42.7%Youngstown State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -134

Youngstown State

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 78

Projected Total155.9

Projected ScoreYoungstown State 78

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricYoungstown State

53.9MMH Power Index46.7

114.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.8Net Efficiency4.5

-2.9Strength of Schedule-5.6

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency1.5

72.3Tempo66.7

54.5%Effective FG%54.9%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.4%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

37.1%Free Throw Rate32.3%

5.7Average Margin3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–46.7), offensive efficiency (114.9–111.6), net efficiency (7.8–4.5), strength of schedule (-2.9–-5.6).

Youngstown State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (54.9–54.5).

Final

Northern Kentucky

58—64

Youngstown State

Youngstown State by 6 • 74.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATYoungstown State

20-68FG21-50

29.0%FG%42.0%

8-313PT5-20

26.0%3PT%25.0%

10-18FT17-26

56.0%FT%65.0%

43Rebounds40

19Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists13

18Turnovers18

8Steals9

2Blocks6

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Oday	G	36	6-23	4-15	2-5	2	1	1	0	18
Kael Robinson	F	28	3-15	2-8	5-6	7	1	0	1	13
Tae Dozier	G	29	3-5	1-2	1-1	11	0	2	0	8
Ethan Elliott	G	39	3-7	0-1	0-0	5	4	2	0	6
Dan Gherezgher	G	21	1-7	1-3	2-5	2	2	2	0	5
LJ Wells	F	25	2-8	0-1	0-1	6	3	1	0	4
Bryce Darbyshire	G	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Addison Archer	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Shawn Nelson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Youngstown State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryson Dawkins	G	34	9-12	1-3	3-6	3	1	1	0	22
Cris Carroll	F	35	2-10	1-7	10-12	10	2	1	1	15
Tae Blackshear	G	27	2-7	1-4	2-4	2	1	2	0	7
Imanuel Zorgvol	C	21	3-6	0-1	1-2	9	1	2	4	7
Cam Polak	G	19	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Jason Nelson	G	30	1-3	1-2	1-2	4	5	1	0	4
Rich Rolf	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Drew King	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Vlad Salaridze	F	13	0-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.0Possessions74.0

78.4Offensive Efficiency86.5

86.5Defensive Efficiency78.4

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

35.3%Effective FG%47.0%

37.9%True Shooting %51.3%

23.8%Turnover Rate24.9%

26.5%Free Throw Rate52.0%

45.6%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.61Assist / Turnover0.72

Game Summary

Youngstown State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.