Houston Christian

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Houston Christian

59.5%East Texas A&M

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Texas A&M -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL142.0

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Texas A&M -147

East Texas A&M

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 69

Projected Total142.0

Projected ScoreEast Texas A&M 73

Team Comparison

Houston ChristianMetricEast Texas A&M

39.5MMH Power Index38.4

102.5Offensive Efficiency101.2

110.3Defensive Efficiency107.5

-7.8Net Efficiency-6.3

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.5

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.1

65.4Tempo69.3

49.9%Effective FG%50.7%

19.0%Turnover Rate18.7%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

37.1%Free Throw Rate31.9%

-5.1Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston Christian HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston Christian holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.5–38.4), offensive efficiency (102.5–101.2), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.5), recent form (-8.2–-9.1).

East Texas A&M COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–110.3), net efficiency (-6.3–-7.8), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.9).

Final

Houston Christian

69—68

East Texas A&M

Houston Christian by 1 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Houston ChristianTEAM STATEast Texas A&M

27-61FG23-51

44.0%FG%45.0%

5-193PT9-24

26.0%3PT%38.0%

10-15FT13-17

67.0%FT%76.0%

34Rebounds32

15Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists14

11Turnovers15

9Steals10

4Blocks7

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Demarco Bethea	F	32	7-12	0-0	1-2	9	0	1	0	15
D'Aundre Samuels	G	30	5-15	1-7	2-2	3	4	0	1	13
Mambourou Mara	F	25	4-8	1-3	4-6	7	0	5	2	13
Ryan Bartley	G	31	3-8	2-4	2-2	3	1	1	1	10
Demari Williams	G	28	4-9	1-2	1-2	6	1	1	0	10
Trent Johnson	F	24	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	6
Kylin Green	G	30	1-5	0-2	0-1	2	5	0	0	2

East Texas A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gianni Hunt	G	34	6-12	5-7	8-8	4	3	4	0	25
Damian Garcia	G	29	6-13	2-5	1-1	4	2	1	1	15
Noah Pagotto	F	33	3-7	0-2	2-6	3	2	1	3	8
Ronnie Harrison	F	33	2-7	0-3	2-2	6	1	2	1	6
Vinny Sigona	G	16	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Josh Taylor	F	22	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	3	0	2	4
Tay Mosher	F	19	2-5	0-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	4
Evan Phelps	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

107.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency107.6

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

48.4%Effective FG%53.9%

50.6%True Shooting %57.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate23.4%

24.6%Free Throw Rate33.3%

31.1%3-Point Rate47.1%

1.27Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Houston Christian won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.