Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Fresno State

80.7%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -418

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 69

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreColorado State 78

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricColorado State

47.1MMH Power Index55.4

104.9Offensive Efficiency117.1

104.9Defensive Efficiency109.9

0.0Net Efficiency7.2

1.5Strength of Schedule0.4

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

69.4Tempo64.7

51.3%Effective FG%58.6%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

35.5%Free Throw Rate41.2%

0.0Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.1), offensive efficiency (117.1–104.9), net efficiency (7.2–0.0), recent form (4.3–-6.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–109.9), strength of schedule (1.5–0.4), ball security (18.2–18.3).

Final

Fresno State

70—74

Colorado State

Colorado State by 4 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATColorado State

27-58FG26-58

47.0%FG%45.0%

8-213PT9-29

38.0%3PT%31.0%

8-11FT13-17

73.0%FT%76.0%

31Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists15

12Turnovers11

6Steals7

1Blocks3

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DeShawn Gory	F	35	10-16	2-6	1-2	7	4	0	0	23
Jake Heidbreder	G	36	3-10	1-5	4-5	7	0	2	1	11
Jac Mani	F	16	3-6	1-2	1-2	2	2	1	0	8
Wilson Jacques	C	29	3-10	1-1	0-0	8	0	0	0	7
Cameron Faas	G	18	2-3	2-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Zaon Collins	G	17	2-4	0-1	2-2	2	4	2	0	6
Gasper Kocevar	C	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Aram Soqui Urbano	G	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Bastien Rieber	G	23	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	2

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	30	7-12	5-8	0-0	2	2	2	0	19
Jevin Muniz	G	35	4-7	0-1	4-6	2	6	2	0	12
Carey Booth	F	30	3-7	1-4	4-4	9	1	0	2	11
Jase Butler	G	29	3-10	1-5	4-5	5	3	1	0	11
Kyle Jorgensen	F	25	4-7	2-5	1-2	4	2	1	1	11
Jojo McIver	G	12	2-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Rashaan Mbemba	F	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Darnez Slater	G	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	10	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

104.9Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency104.9

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

53.4%Effective FG%52.6%

55.4%True Shooting %56.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate16.6%

19.0%Free Throw Rate29.3%

36.2%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.