San José State

9-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.3%San José State

16.7%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan José State -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.0

MODEL MONEYLINESan José State -499

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan José State 78

Projected Total147.0

Projected ScoreAir Force 69

Team Comparison

San José StateMetricAir Force

42MMH Power Index23

108.7Offensive Efficiency91.3

118.5Defensive Efficiency118.5

-9.8Net Efficiency-27.2

1.8Strength of Schedule6.2

-8.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

66.2Tempo67.4

50.8%Effective FG%49.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate21.9%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

34.2%Free Throw Rate35.9%

-6.5Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San José State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan José State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.0–23.0), offensive efficiency (108.7–91.3), net efficiency (-9.8–-27.2), recent form (-8.6–-33.5).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–1.8), free throw rate (35.9–34.2).

Final

San José State

86—80

Air Force

San José State by 6 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San José StateTEAM STATAir Force

28-57FG29-57

49.0%FG%51.0%

13-243PT8-22

54.0%3PT%36.0%

17-19FT14-22

89.0%FT%64.0%

31Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists16

8Turnovers10

6Steals5

3Blocks4

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adrian Myers	F	37	11-18	8-9	4-5	7	1	2	1	34
Colby Garland	G	38	6-14	1-4	10-10	2	5	0	0	23
Sadraque NgaNga	F	23	5-8	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	11
Jermaine Washington	G	33	3-7	2-5	0-0	4	4	2	0	8
Melvin Bell Jr.	G	39	2-6	1-3	1-2	1	0	1	0	6
Marcus Overstreet	F	14	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	1	4
Douglas Langford	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Japhet Moupadele	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Hobin	F	37	6-14	5-12	4-4	1	0	0	0	21
Kam Sanders	G	29	8-13	0-2	4-8	5	5	2	0	20
Ethan Greenberg	G	33	4-9	2-6	0-0	3	2	2	0	10
Eli Robinson	F	27	3-5	0-0	2-4	8	1	1	0	8
Wesley Celichowski	C	29	3-3	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	2	7
Caleb Walker	F	10	2-4	0-0	3-5	2	1	0	0	7
Riley Dering	F	10	2-3	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	1	5
Kolby Gilles	F	9	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
A.J. Patterson	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	6	0	1	0
Justin Hinds	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

129.7Offensive Efficiency120.7

120.7Defensive Efficiency129.7

9.0Net Efficiency-9.0

60.5%Effective FG%57.9%

65.1%True Shooting %59.3%

12.3%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.3%Free Throw Rate38.6%

42.1%3-Point Rate38.6%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

San José State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.