Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Saint Louis

43.8%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -128

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 78

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricDayton

66.7MMH Power Index59.9

120.8Offensive Efficiency108.5

97.6Defensive Efficiency101.5

23.2Net Efficiency7.0

0.3Strength of Schedule5.7

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

72.2Tempo68.3

59.9%Effective FG%52.0%

17.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

33.9%Free Throw Rate47.6%

16.8Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (120.8–108.5), defensive efficiency (97.6–101.5), net efficiency (23.2–7.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–0.3), recent form (6.4–0.1), ball security (16.9–17.1).

Final

Saint Louis

62—77

Dayton

Dayton by 15 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATDayton

22-55FG24-51

40.0%FG%47.0%

5-213PT8-20

24.0%3PT%40.0%

13-16FT21-28

81.0%FT%75.0%

35Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds5

10Assists18

15Turnovers10

5Steals5

2Blocks5

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kellen Thames	G	28	9-14	1-2	5-7	7	2	0	0	24
Dion Brown	G	22	6-12	2-3	1-1	7	0	1	0	15
Robbie Avila	C	25	3-7	2-5	2-2	4	2	0	1	10
Amari McCottry	G	22	2-7	0-3	2-2	3	1	1	0	6
Quentin Jones	G	28	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	2	0	2
Trey Green	G	17	0-5	0-4	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Paul Otieno	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Brady Dunlap	F	16	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Ishan Sharma	F	30	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	3	1	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amaël L'Etang	F	30	6-11	2-4	12-15	10	3	1	3	26
Javon Bennett	G	38	5-11	3-7	4-4	5	4	2	0	17
Jordan Derkack	G	24	5-10	2-2	2-4	5	0	1	0	14
Keonte Jones	G	29	4-5	0-0	1-3	4	3	0	2	9
Jaiun Simon	F	30	2-6	0-1	2-2	1	2	0	0	6
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	32	2-8	1-6	0-0	4	5	0	0	5
Jacob Conner	F	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

89.3Offensive Efficiency111.0

111.0Defensive Efficiency89.3

-21.6Net Efficiency21.6

44.5%Effective FG%54.9%

49.5%True Shooting %59.9%

21.6%Turnover Rate14.4%

29.1%Free Throw Rate54.9%

38.2%3-Point Rate39.2%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Dayton won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.