Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.6%Northwestern

69.4%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana -227

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 71

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreIndiana 78

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricIndiana

55.4MMH Power Index58.2

111.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

109.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

1.8Net Efficiency8.9

5.6Strength of Schedule5.2

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

65.6Tempo67.4

51.9%Effective FG%56.0%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.8%Free Throw Rate35.8%

1.2Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.2–55.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.8), net efficiency (8.9–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.2), recent form (-2.7–-7.7), ball security (13.0–15.1).

Final

Northwestern

72—68

Indiana

Northwestern by 4 • 61.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATIndiana

26-54FG23-50

48.0%FG%46.0%

6-133PT10-28

46.0%3PT%36.0%

14-18FT12-14

78.0%FT%86.0%

34Rebounds23

11Offensive Rebounds5

15Assists18

9Turnovers10

4Steals3

3Blocks2

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	39	12-21	1-3	3-4	5	3	0	0	28
Jake West	G	36	4-9	3-5	5-6	2	1	0	0	16
Arrinten Page	F	27	3-6	1-1	3-4	6	4	2	1	10
Angelo Ciaravino	G	27	4-7	0-2	1-2	5	1	0	1	9
Tre Singleton	F	34	2-4	1-2	2-2	8	2	1	1	7
Jayden Reid	G	24	1-6	0-0	0-0	0	4	1	0	2
Tyler Kropp	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jordan Clayton	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lamar Wilkerson	G	36	5-17	4-11	4-4	5	3	1	0	18
Tayton Conerway	G	19	6-6	1-1	1-1	1	3	1	0	14
Sam Alexis	F	26	6-7	0-0	1-2	4	3	0	0	13
Tucker DeVries	F	37	3-11	2-7	3-3	2	1	1	1	11
Nick Dorn	G	32	2-7	2-7	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Jasai Miles	G	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Reed Bailey	F	14	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	1	1
Conor Enright	G	25	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	5	0	0	0
Trent Sisley	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.2Possessions61.2

117.6Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency117.6

6.5Net Efficiency-6.5

53.7%Effective FG%56.0%

57.6%True Shooting %60.0%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.2%

33.3%Free Throw Rate28.0%

24.1%3-Point Rate56.0%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 61.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.