Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.2%Northern Illinois

97.8%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -23.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -4445

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 66

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreToledo 89

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricToledo

29.2MMH Power Index58.8

99.7Offensive Efficiency116.0

111.6Defensive Efficiency109.6

-11.9Net Efficiency6.4

-2.1Strength of Schedule2.3

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

69.7Tempo69.8

48.5%Effective FG%55.1%

21.3%Turnover Rate14.6%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

39.6%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-8.3Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–29.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–99.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–111.6), net efficiency (6.4–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–30.4), free throw rate (39.6–30.3).

Final

Northern Illinois

69—79

Toledo

Toledo by 10 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATToledo

27-57FG30-63

47.0%FG%48.0%

5-233PT7-16

22.0%3PT%44.0%

10-16FT12-14

63.0%FT%86.0%

32Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists21

11Turnovers7

4Steals5

2Blocks5

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gianni Cobb	G	39	6-14	1-3	4-4	6	5	1	0	17
Hassan Washington	F	28	8-8	0-0	1-3	7	1	0	0	17
Makhai Valentine	G	33	3-9	2-7	3-3	6	0	1	0	11
Taj Walters	G	31	4-6	2-3	1-2	5	1	0	1	11
Gustav Winther	F	16	4-6	0-1	1-3	2	0	0	0	9
Dylan Ducommun	G	30	1-8	0-6	0-0	3	4	0	1	2
Daemar Kelly	G	22	1-6	0-3	0-1	2	2	2	0	2
Carlos Coronado	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	36	6-13	2-3	3-3	1	7	2	0	17
Austin Parks	C	30	6-12	0-0	2-4	6	4	0	4	14
Mynor Strong	G	26	5-9	1-2	3-3	5	0	2	0	14
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	32	4-12	2-5	2-2	7	6	0	0	12
Sean Craig	F	34	5-7	1-2	0-0	7	3	0	0	11
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	12	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Will James Jr.	G	14	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	16	1-6	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

104.2Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency104.2

-15.1Net Efficiency15.1

51.8%Effective FG%53.2%

53.4%True Shooting %56.7%

16.5%Turnover Rate10.7%

28.1%Free Throw Rate22.2%

40.4%3-Point Rate25.4%

1.18Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Toledo won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.