Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.0%Old Dominion

74.0%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL160.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -285

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 76

Projected Total160.2

Projected ScoreMarshall 84

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricMarshall

47.2MMH Power Index52

107.4Offensive Efficiency114.7

109.8Defensive Efficiency110.3

-2.4Net Efficiency4.4

-0.1Strength of Schedule0.9

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

70.9Tempo70.7

50.9%Effective FG%55.2%

15.4%Turnover Rate16.5%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

35.2%Free Throw Rate29.7%

-1.7Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marshall HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarshall holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.0–47.2), offensive efficiency (114.7–107.4), net efficiency (4.4–-2.4), strength of schedule (0.9–-0.1).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.8–110.3), recent form (4.1–-4.9), ball security (15.4–16.5).

Final

Old Dominion

88—97

Marshall

Marshall by 9 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATMarshall

33-70FG40-67

47.0%FG%60.0%

4-183PT9-28

22.0%3PT%32.0%

18-20FT8-10

90.0%FT%80.0%

34Rebounds31

14Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists22

8Turnovers7

5Steals4

3Blocks7

11Fouls15

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KC Shaw	G	35	10-20	0-1	6-7	7	2	0	1	26
Jordan Battle	G	38	8-17	2-8	6-7	5	4	2	0	24
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	35	8-11	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	2	17
LJ Thomas	G	38	3-8	0-2	2-2	1	1	1	0	8
Scottie Hubbard	G	18	2-7	1-4	0-0	3	0	2	0	5
Zacch Wiggins	G	17	1-4	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Jared Turner	F	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Donovan Raymond	F	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wyatt Fricks	F	37	12-17	2-6	2-4	4	2	0	3	28
Landen Joseph	G	36	7-10	2-5	2-2	5	6	1	1	18
Noah Otshudi	G	32	7-12	2-4	2-2	3	6	2	0	18
Jalen Speer	G	26	8-10	2-4	0-0	0	2	0	0	18
Erich Harding	F	14	3-5	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	2	6
Shamarrie Hugie	G	18	1-4	1-4	2-2	1	2	1	0	5
Wilson Dubinsky	G	21	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Drew Fuquay	F	11	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Caleb Hollenbeck	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kai Spears	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

121.9Offensive Efficiency134.3

134.3Defensive Efficiency121.9

-12.5Net Efficiency12.5

50.0%Effective FG%66.4%

55.3%True Shooting %67.6%

10.9%Turnover Rate9.9%

28.6%Free Throw Rate14.9%

25.7%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover3.14

Game Summary

Marshall won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.