Xavier

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Xavier

73.7%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL169.5

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -280

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreXavier 81

Projected Total169.5

Projected ScoreProvidence 88

Team Comparison

XavierMetricProvidence

49.5MMH Power Index54.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency115.0

112.4Defensive Efficiency113.2

-3.2Net Efficiency1.8

5.6Strength of Schedule4.0

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

71.7Tempo74.2

51.7%Effective FG%55.0%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.7%

26.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

28.9%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-2.3Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–49.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.2), net efficiency (1.8–-3.2), recent form (-1.3–-7.4).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.4–113.2), strength of schedule (5.6–4.0), ball security (13.9–16.7).

Final

Xavier

84—94

Providence

Providence by 10 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

XavierTEAM STATProvidence

34-68FG33-61

50.0%FG%54.0%

5-223PT9-18

23.0%3PT%50.0%

11-15FT19-25

73.0%FT%76.0%

33Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists8

5Turnovers4

1Steals2

2Blocks3

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Roddie Anderson III	G	32	11-15	1-2	4-7	6	0	1	0	27
Filip Borovicanin	F	36	7-14	1-3	4-4	9	1	0	0	19
Jovan Milicevic	F	37	7-14	3-6	0-0	8	0	0	0	17
Tre Carroll	F	29	7-12	0-3	1-2	4	3	0	2	15
Malik Messina-Moore	G	36	0-6	0-5	2-2	1	2	0	0	2
All Wright	G	14	1-6	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Walker	G	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Pape N'Diaye	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Anthony Robinson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	37	10-14	4-6	3-4	0	0	0	1	27
Jason Edwards	G	31	7-14	4-7	6-7	2	3	0	0	24
Jamier Jones	F	36	6-15	0-2	7-10	7	1	1	0	19
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	30	4-6	0-0	2-2	10	2	0	1	10
Ryan Mela	G	30	4-9	0-1	1-2	4	2	0	0	9
Nilavan Daniels	G	23	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Peteris Pinnis	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Cole Hargrove	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

120.9Offensive Efficiency135.3

135.3Defensive Efficiency120.9

-14.4Net Efficiency14.4

53.7%Effective FG%61.5%

55.9%True Shooting %64.5%

7.1%Turnover Rate5.8%

22.1%Free Throw Rate41.0%

32.4%3-Point Rate29.5%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Providence won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.