Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%Arizona State

81.4%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -438

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 72

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreTCU 83

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricTCU

51MMH Power Index59.7

108.1Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.9Defensive Efficiency102.7

-2.8Net Efficiency7.5

7.0Strength of Schedule4.6

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

70.6Tempo70.2

51.3%Effective FG%50.5%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

40.2%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-1.9Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–51.0), offensive efficiency (110.2–108.1), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.9), net efficiency (7.5–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–4.6), shooting efficiency (51.3–50.5), free throw rate (40.2–38.3).

Final

Arizona State

78—90

TCU

TCU by 12 • 75.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATTCU

28-61FG27-64

46.0%FG%42.0%

5-203PT8-23

25.0%3PT%35.0%

17-23FT28-40

74.0%FT%70.0%

34Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds17

21Assists22

13Turnovers7

3Steals10

6Blocks4

29Fouls23

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maurice Odum	G	37	8-16	4-10	1-2	4	10	1	1	21
Anthony Johnson	G	25	6-10	0-0	6-6	2	3	0	1	18
Massamba Diop	C	27	5-9	0-0	3-6	3	1	1	2	13
Bryce Ford	G	25	2-6	0-3	5-6	1	2	0	0	9
Santiago Trouet	F	29	2-5	0-0	2-3	5	0	0	1	6
Allen Mukeba	F	15	3-6	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	6
Andrija Grbovic	F	16	2-7	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Noah Meeusen	G	21	0-2	0-2	0-0	6	4	0	0	0
Trevor Best	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Robinson	F	34	6-13	3-5	5-6	8	3	1	0	20
Xavier Edmonds	F	17	6-9	3-4	2-5	6	1	0	0	17
Tanner Toolson	G	30	4-5	1-2	3-6	5	3	2	0	12
Brock Harding	G	37	1-10	0-5	8-11	4	11	4	0	10
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	29	2-10	0-4	6-8	6	1	1	0	10
David Punch	F	25	3-10	0-2	2-2	4	2	2	2	8
Vianney Salatchoum	C	11	2-2	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	2	6
Jayden Pierre	G	14	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jace Posey	G	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

75.0Possessions75.0

104.0Offensive Efficiency120.0

120.0Defensive Efficiency104.0

-16.0Net Efficiency16.0

50.0%Effective FG%48.4%

54.2%True Shooting %54.2%

16.9%Turnover Rate9.6%

37.7%Free Throw Rate62.5%

32.8%3-Point Rate35.9%

1.62Assist / Turnover3.14

Game Summary

TCU won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 75.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.