Miami

26-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Miami

43.8%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -128

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiami 80

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreFlorida State 79

Team Comparison

MiamiMetricFlorida State

65.5MMH Power Index58.7

117.8Offensive Efficiency111.9

103.0Defensive Efficiency108.5

14.8Net Efficiency3.4

3.6Strength of Schedule5.7

3.6Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

69.2Tempo71.8

55.5%Effective FG%52.4%

16.2%Turnover Rate15.2%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

37.9%Free Throw Rate35.2%

10.3Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–58.7), offensive efficiency (117.8–111.9), defensive efficiency (103.0–108.5), net efficiency (14.8–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–3.6), recent form (7.6–3.6), ball security (15.2–16.2).

Final

Miami

83—73

Florida State

Miami by 10 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MiamiTEAM STATFlorida State

31-59FG27-59

53.0%FG%46.0%

9-213PT8-28

43.0%3PT%29.0%

12-19FT11-16

63.0%FT%69.0%

42Rebounds23

16Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists12

18Turnovers12

7Steals7

5Blocks7

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Reneau	F	35	9-14	0-1	5-7	12	2	0	0	23
Tre Donaldson	G	37	8-16	4-8	1-2	6	6	1	1	21
Tru Washington	G	25	4-8	2-4	1-2	7	3	4	0	11
Shelton Henderson	F	34	3-7	0-0	4-5	6	2	1	0	10
Dante Allen	G	23	3-6	2-3	0-1	2	0	0	1	8
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	35	3-3	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	3	7
Timotej Malovec	F	10	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Salih Altuntas	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lajae Jones	G	35	8-14	2-5	3-3	2	0	0	3	21
Chauncey Wiggins	F	29	5-8	2-4	2-2	5	2	0	1	14
Robert McCray V	G	33	4-14	0-4	1-1	3	6	1	0	9
AJ Swinton	F	22	3-4	1-2	2-4	1	0	1	1	9
Thomas Bassong	F	16	3-5	0-2	1-3	4	0	2	0	7
Kobe MaGee	G	14	2-6	2-6	1-1	1	0	0	0	7
Martin Somerville	G	28	1-7	1-5	0-0	2	4	3	0	3
Alex Steen	F	23	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	2	3

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

117.2Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency117.2

14.1Net Efficiency-14.1

60.2%Effective FG%52.5%

61.0%True Shooting %54.8%

25.7%Turnover Rate16.8%

32.2%Free Throw Rate27.1%

35.6%3-Point Rate47.5%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Miami won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.