Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Lafayette

82.3%Colgate

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColgate -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEColgate -465

Colgate

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 69

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreColgate 80

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricColgate

39.6MMH Power Index48.8

102.9Offensive Efficiency111.7

110.3Defensive Efficiency109.0

-7.4Net Efficiency2.7

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.0

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

67.5Tempo68.4

49.4%Effective FG%54.5%

15.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

33.0%Free Throw Rate30.0%

-5.0Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colgate HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColgate holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.8–39.6), offensive efficiency (111.7–102.9), defensive efficiency (109.0–110.3), net efficiency (2.7–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.0), free throw rate (33.0–30.0).

Final

Lafayette

70—69

Colgate

Lafayette by 1 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATColgate

27-63FG26-56

43.0%FG%46.0%

7-263PT6-16

27.0%3PT%38.0%

9-15FT11-14

60.0%FT%79.0%

37Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists18

5Turnovers5

1Steals2

3Blocks1

11Fouls16

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Butler	G	37	6-12	0-1	3-6	3	2	0	0	15
Caleb Williams	G	29	5-15	0-8	5-6	1	0	1	0	15
Christian Humphrey-Rembert	F	30	4-8	3-5	1-2	14	1	0	1	12
KaiMani Murdock	G	14	3-3	3-3	0-0	1	1	0	1	9
Shareef Jackson	F	21	3-8	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	1	6
Andrew Phillips	G	35	2-9	1-8	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Misha Bednostin	C	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Ryan Pettit	G	15	2-6	0-1	0-1	6	2	0	0	4

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Alekseyenko	F	27	6-13	1-3	2-2	2	5	0	0	15
Jalen Cox	G	35	7-15	0-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	14
Josh Ahayere	G	32	5-8	2-3	2-2	7	1	0	0	14
Ben Tweedy	G	35	3-4	2-2	4-6	10	8	1	0	12
Sam Wright	F	27	2-10	1-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	7
Cooper Wright	F	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Ayomi Odetoyinbo	F	8	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Kyle Carlesimo	G	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

112.2Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency112.2

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

48.4%Effective FG%51.8%

49.9%True Shooting %55.1%

7.9%Turnover Rate8.1%

23.8%Free Throw Rate25.0%

41.3%3-Point Rate28.6%

2.40Assist / Turnover3.60

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.