Butler

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%Butler

77.8%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -350

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreButler 73

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreVillanova 82

Team Comparison

ButlerMetricVillanova

52.7MMH Power Index59.4

111.7Offensive Efficiency114.7

109.1Defensive Efficiency105.9

2.6Net Efficiency8.8

3.1Strength of Schedule4.4

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

71.1Tempo67.3

51.2%Effective FG%53.9%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate31.4%

1.8Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–52.7), offensive efficiency (114.7–111.7), defensive efficiency (105.9–109.1), net efficiency (8.8–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.4–31.8), free throw rate (42.9–31.4).

Final

Butler

73—82

Villanova

Villanova by 9 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ButlerTEAM STATVillanova

24-53FG31-63

45.0%FG%49.0%

3-133PT10-32

23.0%3PT%31.0%

22-27FT10-14

81.0%FT%71.0%

38Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists17

14Turnovers9

4Steals8

—Blocks1

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Michael Ajayi	F	37	5-10	1-2	6-8	9	2	0	17
Yohan Traore	F	23	5-9	0-1	5-6	5	0	0	15
Finley Bizjack	G	37	4-12	1-4	3-4	2	2	1	12
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	G	37	3-11	1-5	4-5	7	1	2	11
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	F	25	5-7	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	10
Drayton Jones	C	17	1-1	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	4
Yame Butler	G	16	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	4
Jackson Keith	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Acaden Lewis	G	35	8-14	2-8	2-3	2	4	1	0	20
Bryce Lindsay	G	31	6-14	2-6	5-5	0	1	1	0	19
Devin Askew	G	22	5-8	4-7	2-3	3	2	2	0	16
Tyler Perkins	G	27	5-13	1-6	0-0	5	4	3	0	11
Duke Brennan	F	34	4-6	0-0	0-1	10	5	0	0	8
Matt Hodge	F	21	2-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Malachi Palmer	G	21	1-2	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Braden Pierce	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Chris Jeffrey	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

103.8Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency103.8

-12.8Net Efficiency12.8

48.1%Effective FG%57.1%

55.5%True Shooting %58.9%

20.1%Turnover Rate12.7%

50.9%Free Throw Rate22.2%

24.5%3-Point Rate50.8%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Villanova won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.