Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.3%Northern Kentucky

20.7%Cleveland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL168.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -383

Cleveland State

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 88

Projected Total168.4

Projected ScoreCleveland State 80

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricCleveland State

53.9MMH Power Index37.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency120.2

7.8Net Efficiency-8.6

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.6

72.3Tempo71.5

54.5%Effective FG%55.0%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.0%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

37.1%Free Throw Rate38.7%

5.7Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–37.3), offensive efficiency (114.9–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–120.2), net efficiency (7.8–-8.6).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.5), free throw rate (38.7–37.1).

Final

Northern Kentucky

81—70

Cleveland State

Northern Kentucky by 11 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATCleveland State

26-51FG24-60

51.0%FG%40.0%

10-283PT5-24

36.0%3PT%21.0%

19-26FT17-21

73.0%FT%81.0%

38Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists11

14Turnovers12

7Steals2

5Blocks1

22Fouls24

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
LJ Wells	F	33	6-13	0-1	12-16	12	4	1	0	24
Donovan Oday	G	28	8-8	2-2	4-4	3	0	1	3	22
Kael Robinson	F	26	3-10	2-8	3-6	3	1	0	1	11
Dan Gherezgher	G	16	4-7	3-6	0-0	1	0	1	0	11
Tae Dozier	G	33	2-7	2-7	0-0	5	3	0	1	6
Ethan Elliott	G	36	2-3	1-2	0-0	7	8	2	0	5
Bryce Darbyshire	G	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Addison Archer	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Preist Ryan	F	32	8-13	0-0	4-7	10	1	0	0	20
Tre Beard	G	37	5-10	3-7	1-1	1	2	2	0	14
Jaidon Lipscomb	G	35	4-13	1-7	3-3	3	1	0	0	12
Chevalier Emery	G	29	3-9	0-3	6-7	0	1	0	1	12
Josiah Harris	F	38	2-9	1-5	3-3	6	5	0	0	8
Kamari Jones	G	16	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Manny Hill	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Holden Pierre-Louis	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
David Giddens	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

112.2Offensive Efficiency97.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency112.2

15.2Net Efficiency-15.2

60.8%Effective FG%44.2%

63.9%True Shooting %50.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate16.2%

51.0%Free Throw Rate35.0%

54.9%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.21Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.