Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%Drake

71.1%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -246

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 71

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreValparaiso 77

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricValparaiso

46.4MMH Power Index49.9

109.5Offensive Efficiency106.6

109.1Defensive Efficiency105.8

0.4Net Efficiency0.8

0.3Strength of Schedule0.3

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

68.6Tempo67.5

52.2%Effective FG%48.7%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

34.4%Free Throw Rate40.0%

0.2Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–46.4), defensive efficiency (105.8–109.1), net efficiency (0.8–0.4), recent form (-0.1–-11.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.5–106.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.7), ball security (14.9–15.6).

Final

Drake

71—74

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 3 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATValparaiso

27-56FG24-54

48.0%FG%44.0%

8-223PT12-28

36.0%3PT%43.0%

9-13FT14-17

69.0%FT%82.0%

31Rebounds29

9Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists14

11Turnovers11

4Steals3

2Blocks1

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Larson	G	35	7-13	2-7	2-2	2	3	2	0	18
Jalen Quinn	G	30	6-14	2-5	2-4	1	4	0	0	16
Griffen Goodbary	F	17	4-4	2-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	10
Jaehshon Thomas	G	27	3-10	0-2	2-2	4	1	1	0	8
Isaiah Carr	F	21	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Okku Federiko	F	20	2-3	1-1	1-2	4	1	0	2	6
Andrew Alia	G	26	1-7	1-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Eli Shetlar	G	24	0-0	0-0	2-3	6	5	0	0	2

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rakim Chaney	G	34	7-14	3-9	0-0	2	2	1	1	17
Brody Whitaker	G	29	6-8	4-5	1-1	1	3	0	0	17
JT Pettigrew	F	32	3-10	2-6	7-9	7	4	1	0	15
Shon Tupuola	C	30	3-6	0-0	2-3	7	1	0	0	8
Owen Dease	F	19	2-5	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Justus McNair	G	15	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	5
Sader Servilus	G	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	3
Carter Hopoi	F	10	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Barnes	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kyonte Thomas	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

111.5Offensive Efficiency116.2

116.2Defensive Efficiency111.5

-4.7Net Efficiency4.7

55.4%Effective FG%55.6%

57.1%True Shooting %59.6%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.4%

23.2%Free Throw Rate31.5%

39.3%3-Point Rate51.9%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.