Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Indiana State

83.8%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -517

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 68

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 79

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricSouthern Illinois

44.4MMH Power Index54.6

104.7Offensive Efficiency103.4

106.0Defensive Efficiency98.5

-1.3Net Efficiency4.9

0.1Strength of Schedule1.6

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

70.3Tempo70.6

53.6%Effective FG%49.5%

19.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

28.8%Free Throw Rate32.3%

-0.9Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–44.4), defensive efficiency (98.5–106.0), net efficiency (4.9–-1.3), strength of schedule (1.6–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (104.7–103.4), shooting efficiency (53.6–49.5).

Final

Indiana State

55—66

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 11 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

21-56FG25-64

38.0%FG%39.0%

7-273PT2-19

26.0%3PT%11.0%

6-12FT14-16

50.0%FT%88.0%

39Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists12

18Turnovers8

5Steals10

5Blocks3

13Fouls9

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Hall	G	36	6-12	1-3	0-0	4	2	1	0	13
Ian Scott	F	28	3-4	1-1	2-2	4	3	2	0	9
Derek Vorst	C	20	4-9	1-2	0-0	8	2	0	0	9
Camp Wagner	G	28	2-11	2-8	1-2	3	1	0	1	7
Enel St. Bernard	F	24	1-2	0-0	3-4	9	0	2	4	5
Markus Harding	C	9	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Bruno Alocen	G	30	2-9	0-6	0-2	1	2	0	0	4
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	16	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Cooper Bean	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quel'Ron House	G	26	4-12	0-2	4-4	9	3	3	0	12
Drew Steffe	G	35	4-9	1-3	2-2	3	0	2	1	11
Jalen Haynes	G	23	2-8	1-4	6-6	4	4	1	0	11
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	29	5-10	0-2	0-0	2	4	2	1	10
Davion Sykes	G	18	5-10	0-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	10
Prince Aligbe	F	22	2-5	0-2	1-2	5	1	0	0	5
Rolyns Aligbe	F	21	2-8	0-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Jaheem Webber	C	12	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	3
Jorge Moreno	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Max Pikaar	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Caden Hawkins	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

77.8Offensive Efficiency93.4

93.4Defensive Efficiency77.8

-15.6Net Efficiency15.6

43.8%Effective FG%40.6%

44.6%True Shooting %46.1%

25.5%Turnover Rate11.3%

21.4%Free Throw Rate25.0%

48.2%3-Point Rate29.7%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.