East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.7%East Carolina

26.3%UTSA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Carolina -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Carolina -280

UTSA

5-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 78

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreUTSA 73

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricUTSA

44.3MMH Power Index30.5

102.0Offensive Efficiency99.0

110.5Defensive Efficiency115.0

-8.5Net Efficiency-16.0

2.6Strength of Schedule-1.2

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.6

70.1Tempo70.2

46.7%Effective FG%45.9%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

40.2%Free Throw Rate29.9%

-5.9Average Margin-11.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.3–30.5), offensive efficiency (102.0–99.0), defensive efficiency (110.5–115.0), net efficiency (-8.5–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHball security (17.0–17.4).

Final

East Carolina

82—81

UTSA

East Carolina by 1 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATUTSA

28-56FG31-54

50.0%FG%57.0%

7-203PT10-22

35.0%3PT%45.0%

19-26FT9-10

73.0%FT%90.0%

29Rebounds25

14Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists19

13Turnovers17

11Steals10

1Blocks4

10Fouls16

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	39	7-16	3-5	10-14	4	3	6	0	27
Demitri Gardner	G	29	4-12	1-5	4-5	3	1	0	1	13
Corey Caulker	G	38	4-7	3-6	1-2	4	6	1	0	12
Giovanni Emejuru	C	35	4-5	0-0	3-4	6	1	1	0	11
Eli DeLaurier	F	29	4-9	0-2	1-1	6	0	1	0	9
Reid Cason	F	9	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Isaiah Mbeng	G	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Paddy D'Arcy	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Vito Perkovic	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Davis	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Simpson	G	40	8-11	1-3	5-5	1	10	4	0	22
Dorian Hayes	G	40	5-10	4-6	4-5	6	2	2	0	18
Daniel Akitoby	F	39	8-11	1-2	0-0	9	2	0	2	17
Brent Moss	G	33	4-10	2-6	0-0	2	2	3	1	10
Matheo Coffi	F	27	3-7	2-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Baboucarr Njie	F	21	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	1	6

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

121.3Offensive Efficiency119.8

119.8Defensive Efficiency121.3

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

56.3%Effective FG%66.7%

60.0%True Shooting %68.9%

19.3%Turnover Rate25.1%

46.4%Free Throw Rate18.5%

35.7%3-Point Rate40.7%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.12

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.