Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Central Arkansas

64.5%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -182

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 77

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 82

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricAustin Peay

54MMH Power Index54.8

113.9Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.2Defensive Efficiency103.1

8.7Net Efficiency11.9

-3.9Strength of Schedule-5.8

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

71.0Tempo71.0

54.3%Effective FG%53.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate39.0%

6.1Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–54.0), offensive efficiency (115.0–113.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–105.2), net efficiency (11.9–8.7).

Central Arkansas COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.9–-5.8), recent form (9.8–8.1), shooting efficiency (54.3–53.9).

Final

Central Arkansas

93—88

Austin Peay

Central Arkansas by 5 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATAustin Peay

32-55FG29-52

58.0%FG%56.0%

14-303PT12-22

47.0%3PT%55.0%

15-18FT18-21

83.0%FT%86.0%

21Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists23

9Turnovers15

8Steals6

—Blocks1

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Javion Guy-King	G	29	13-18	5-9	0-0	4	1	2	31
Ty Robinson	G	31	8-11	6-9	1-2	5	1	1	23
Camren Hunter	G	34	6-12	1-5	7-8	6	3	1	20
Luke Moore	G	30	4-8	2-3	2-2	1	3	3	12
Malchiah Marable	F	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	2
Harry Beauchamp	G	16	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	2
Tyler Lee	G	9	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	2
Parker Applegate	G	11	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1
Truman Byrne	F	21	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	4	0	0

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Collin Parker	F	38	9-15	5-6	6-8	6	6	1	1	29
Rashaud Marshall	F	36	8-13	0-0	3-3	9	4	0	0	19
Anton Brookshire	PG	35	5-9	5-9	2-2	3	4	0	0	17
Zyree Collins	PG	37	3-7	0-2	5-6	5	7	3	0	11
Tate McCubbin	G	37	3-7	2-5	2-2	3	2	2	0	10
Ja'Corey Robinson	PG	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Travis Torain	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Creighton Morisch	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

137.2Offensive Efficiency129.8

129.8Defensive Efficiency137.2

7.4Net Efficiency-7.4

70.9%Effective FG%67.3%

73.2%True Shooting %71.0%

13.3%Turnover Rate22.1%

32.7%Free Throw Rate40.4%

54.5%3-Point Rate42.3%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.53

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.