Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%Utah State

47.1%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -112

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 76

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 77

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricSan Diego State

65.7MMH Power Index60.1

119.7Offensive Efficiency110.3

103.1Defensive Efficiency99.3

16.6Net Efficiency11.0

3.5Strength of Schedule3.8

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

68.6Tempo70.8

56.9%Effective FG%53.2%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate39.6%

11.4Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.3), net efficiency (16.6–11.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–53.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–103.1), strength of schedule (3.8–3.5), recent form (0.4–0.3).

Final

Utah State

70—89

San Diego State

San Diego State by 19 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATSan Diego State

23-57FG30-55

40.0%FG%55.0%

8-273PT7-16

30.0%3PT%44.0%

16-24FT22-33

67.0%FT%67.0%

30Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists18

12Turnovers12

6Steals3

1Blocks3

25Fouls21

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Collins Jr.	G	32	6-13	2-6	4-5	0	1	0	0	18
Mason Falslev	G	34	5-13	2-4	2-2	5	2	0	0	14
Adlan Elamin	F	26	4-10	2-5	2-2	6	0	2	1	12
Karson Templin	F	18	2-5	0-2	4-8	3	0	1	0	8
Tucker Anderson	F	12	2-3	1-2	2-3	1	0	0	0	7
Elijah Perryman	G	9	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Kolby King	G	25	1-5	1-5	0-0	5	5	0	0	3
Drake Allen	G	20	1-3	0-1	1-2	1	1	1	0	3
Zach Keller	F	19	0-2	0-1	1-2	5	1	1	0	1
Garry Clark	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	33	6-13	3-6	5-5	4	0	0	0	20
Taj DeGourville	G	21	4-7	1-2	3-5	1	8	0	0	12
Pharaoh Compton	F	15	5-7	0-0	1-3	5	1	0	1	11
Tae Simmons	F	13	4-5	0-0	3-7	4	1	0	0	11
Magoon Gwath	F	24	2-3	1-1	4-6	9	0	0	1	9
Miles Byrd	G	31	2-9	1-5	3-4	8	4	1	1	8
BJ Davis	G	14	2-3	1-2	3-3	2	2	0	0	8
Miles Heide	F	14	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Elzie Harrington	G	29	2-5	0-0	0-0	0	2	2	0	4
Sean Newman Jr.	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

100.6Offensive Efficiency127.9

127.9Defensive Efficiency100.6

-27.3Net Efficiency27.3

47.4%Effective FG%60.9%

51.2%True Shooting %63.0%

17.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

42.1%Free Throw Rate60.0%

47.4%3-Point Rate29.1%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.