New Haven

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%New Haven

71.3%Wagner

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL135.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -248

Wagner

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Haven 65

Projected Total135.9

Projected ScoreWagner 71

Team Comparison

New HavenMetricWagner

39.3MMH Power Index42.9

101.1Offensive Efficiency105.5

103.2Defensive Efficiency106.1

-2.1Net Efficiency-0.6

-6.8Strength of Schedule-5.0

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

64.2Tempo67.6

50.4%Effective FG%50.2%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.9%

23.6%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

31.8%Free Throw Rate31.6%

-1.4Average Margin-0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.9–39.3), offensive efficiency (105.5–101.1), net efficiency (-0.6–-2.1), strength of schedule (-5.0–-6.8).

New Haven COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.2–106.1), recent form (2.7–0.3), shooting efficiency (50.4–50.2).

Final

New Haven

62—65

Wagner

Wagner by 3 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New HavenTEAM STATWagner

19-54FG22-55

35.0%FG%40.0%

5-233PT9-25

22.0%3PT%36.0%

19-21FT12-14

90.0%FT%86.0%

31Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists11

6Turnovers8

2Steals4

3Blocks3

11Fouls16

Player Box Score

New Haven

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jabri Fitzpatrick	G	40	6-18	1-7	8-8	3	0	0	0	21
Andre Pasha	F	36	4-10	2-7	5-6	6	1	1	3	15
Najimi George	G	39	3-14	1-4	3-4	4	2	1	0	10
Stefano Faloppa	F	30	2-4	1-2	1-1	1	2	0	0	6
Teshaun Steele	G	14	3-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Maison Adeleye	G	23	1-2	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Kyle Kearson	G	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	0
Zoumana Traore	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Awoke	G	33	5-11	3-7	2-2	3	3	1	0	15
Nick Jones	G	36	5-12	1-5	2-2	4	1	2	0	13
Travis Gray	G	37	2-11	2-7	4-4	13	0	0	1	10
Michael Cooper	G	22	3-4	2-3	1-2	5	3	1	0	9
Bryan Akanmu	F	22	3-6	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Zavier Fitch	F	11	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	2	5
Binael Basil	F	22	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Makhai Anderson	G	8	0-0	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	3
Eddie Placer	G	7	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Elijah Brown	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

99.4Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency99.4

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

39.8%Effective FG%48.2%

48.5%True Shooting %52.7%

9.5%Turnover Rate13.0%

38.9%Free Throw Rate25.5%

42.6%3-Point Rate45.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Wagner won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.