Bryant

9-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.6%Bryant

96.4%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -21.2

PROJECTED TOTAL137.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -2678

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBryant 58

Projected Total137.2

Projected ScoreUMBC 79

Team Comparison

BryantMetricUMBC

34.1MMH Power Index59.1

98.6Offensive Efficiency113.0

110.2Defensive Efficiency99.0

-11.6Net Efficiency14.0

-1.3Strength of Schedule-5.6

-10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

65.8Tempo65.5

48.0%Effective FG%54.3%

20.0%Turnover Rate14.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

31.2%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-7.6Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–34.1), offensive efficiency (113.0–98.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–110.2), net efficiency (14.0–-11.6).

Bryant COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.3–-5.6), offensive rebounding (28.1–25.2).

Final

Bryant

58—70

UMBC

UMBC by 12 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BryantTEAM STATUMBC

18-51FG24-51

35.0%FG%47.0%

8-233PT5-19

35.0%3PT%26.0%

14-20FT17-19

70.0%FT%89.0%

23Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists6

10Turnovers12

6Steals3

1Blocks4

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Bryant

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keegan Harvey	F	38	5-10	2-3	7-10	4	1	0	0	19
Timofei Rudovskii	F	35	4-8	2-6	4-7	6	2	0	1	14
Aaron Davis III	F	25	2-10	2-7	3-3	2	0	2	0	9
Ty Tabales	G	32	3-8	0-3	0-0	1	3	4	0	6
Ashley Sims II	F	39	2-12	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	0	4
Jakai Robinson	G	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Khalil Williams	F	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Ethane Bourgade	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Valentine	G	37	6-10	1-3	2-3	4	4	1	0	15
Josh Odunowo	F	29	5-5	0-0	5-6	6	0	0	1	15
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	32	3-9	0-5	4-4	4	1	0	0	10
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	28	3-8	1-5	2-2	13	0	1	3	9
Jah'Likai King	G	28	3-7	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Caden Diggs	F	21	1-6	0-0	4-4	3	0	1	0	6
Cougar Downing	G	13	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Riley Jacobs	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

91.6Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency91.6

-19.0Net Efficiency19.0

43.1%Effective FG%52.0%

47.9%True Shooting %58.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate19.3%

39.2%Free Throw Rate37.3%

45.1%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

UMBC won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.