Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Mercyhurst

59.5%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL140.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -147

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 69

Projected Total140.5

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 72

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricCentral Connecticut

45.5MMH Power Index44.4

105.2Offensive Efficiency111.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency107.0

3.0Net Efficiency4.4

-5.7Strength of Schedule-7.7

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

65.9Tempo66.3

50.5%Effective FG%54.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

25.4%Free Throw Rate31.3%

2.0Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.4–105.2), net efficiency (4.4–3.0), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.5), offensive rebounding (28.2–26.8).

Mercyhurst COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (45.5–44.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.7–-7.7).

Final

Mercyhurst

78—80

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 2 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

31-62FG28-51

50.0%FG%55.0%

4-173PT4-10

24.0%3PT%40.0%

12-14FT20-28

86.0%FT%71.0%

28Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists12

7Turnovers9

6Steals3

2Blocks3

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Qadir Martin	F	27	7-12	0-0	4-5	5	0	2	0	18
Bernie Blunt III	G	33	4-6	3-4	5-5	4	1	0	0	16
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	17	6-9	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	1	13
Jake Lemelman	G	35	5-14	0-5	0-0	2	6	0	0	10
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	23	5-8	0-0	0-0	5	2	2	0	10
Kaden Fuhrmann	G	13	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Cameron Johnson	F	18	1-4	0-1	2-2	4	0	2	1	4
James Thomas	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Christian Gamble	G	16	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Sean Lang	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	34	6-13	0-1	12-13	4	1	0	0	24
Max Frazier	F	34	8-9	0-0	1-2	13	1	1	1	17
Jay Rodgers	G	32	6-10	1-2	3-4	1	7	0	0	16
Melo Sanchez	G	32	5-8	2-4	1-1	1	1	0	0	13
James Jones	G	34	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	2	3
Jayden Mott	F	6	1-1	0-0	1-4	3	0	1	0	3
Roddy Jones	G	6	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Daniel James	F	12	0-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	1
Elijah Parker	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

114.7Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency114.7

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

53.2%Effective FG%58.8%

56.8%True Shooting %62.2%

10.2%Turnover Rate13.4%

22.6%Free Throw Rate54.9%

27.4%3-Point Rate19.6%

1.43Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.