UMass Lowell

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.6%UMass Lowell

82.4%Vermont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVermont -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVermont -468

Vermont

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMass Lowell 69

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreVermont 79

Team Comparison

UMass LowellMetricVermont

43.8MMH Power Index53.1

107.9Offensive Efficiency112.2

109.9Defensive Efficiency104.7

-2.0Net Efficiency7.5

-4.6Strength of Schedule-4.4

1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.4

69.4Tempo65.4

51.0%Effective FG%54.1%

17.6%Turnover Rate14.4%

35.1%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

37.9%Free Throw Rate32.4%

-1.4Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.1–43.8), offensive efficiency (112.2–107.9), defensive efficiency (104.7–109.9), net efficiency (7.5–-2.0).

UMass Lowell COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (35.1–26.8), free throw rate (37.9–32.4).

Final

UMass Lowell

64—66

Vermont

Vermont by 2 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMass LowellTEAM STATVermont

25-61FG23-60

41.0%FG%38.0%

3-163PT8-26

19.0%3PT%31.0%

11-20FT12-16

55.0%FT%75.0%

40Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists9

9Turnovers9

6Steals5

4Blocks5

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

UMass Lowell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Green	F	39	7-9	0-0	2-2	14	3	0	1	16
Xavier Spencer	G	39	5-13	1-5	4-4	6	0	0	0	15
Angel Montas Jr.	G	38	5-19	1-4	4-9	6	3	2	0	15
Darrel Yepdo	G	33	5-12	1-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	11
Shawn Simmons II	F	25	1-2	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	3
Victor Okojie	F	17	1-5	0-2	0-2	2	0	2	1	2
Khalil Farmer	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	2	1	1	2

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gus Yalden	F	33	7-16	3-5	4-6	12	1	1	0	21
TJ Hurley	G	35	6-15	3-9	4-5	2	2	0	0	19
Noah Barnett	F	21	3-4	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	7
Sean Blake	G	32	3-8	0-3	0-0	4	2	3	2	6
Momo Nkugwa	G	15	2-2	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Ben Johnson	G	18	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Lucas Mari	G	17	1-5	0-3	1-1	4	1	0	0	3
TJ Long	G	24	0-8	0-3	2-2	2	2	0	2	2
Ben Michaels	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jackson Skipper	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

98.3Offensive Efficiency101.4

101.4Defensive Efficiency98.3

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

43.4%Effective FG%45.0%

45.4%True Shooting %48.8%

13.7%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.8%Free Throw Rate26.7%

26.2%3-Point Rate43.3%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Vermont won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.