UNC Greensboro

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%UNC Greensboro

60.3%Chattanooga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADChattanooga -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEChattanooga -152

Chattanooga

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Greensboro 77

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreChattanooga 82

Team Comparison

UNC GreensboroMetricChattanooga

46.7MMH Power Index45.9

112.6Offensive Efficiency112.7

115.3Defensive Efficiency110.5

-2.7Net Efficiency2.2

-1.9Strength of Schedule-4.4

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.8Tempo68.1

52.8%Effective FG%55.1%

14.6%Turnover Rate14.1%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %23.5%

41.7%Free Throw Rate29.2%

-1.9Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Chattanooga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMChattanooga holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.7–112.6), defensive efficiency (110.5–115.3), net efficiency (2.2–-2.7), shooting efficiency (55.1–52.8).

UNC Greensboro COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (46.7–45.9), strength of schedule (-1.9–-4.4), recent form (2.2–-0.1).

Final

UNC Greensboro

85—80

Chattanooga

UNC Greensboro by 5 • 76.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC GreensboroTEAM STATChattanooga

28-64FG27-64

44.0%FG%42.0%

9-273PT12-38

33.0%3PT%32.0%

20-25FT14-18

80.0%FT%78.0%

37Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists17

10Turnovers10

7Steals3

—Blocks5

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

UNC Greensboro

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Justin Neely	F	34	6-11	2-3	4-5	17	0	0	18
KJ Younger	G	30	5-12	1-5	6-6	5	0	2	17
Donald Whitehead Jr.	G	16	4-10	2-3	1-4	1	2	1	11
Valentino Pinedo	F	35	4-7	0-0	2-3	5	1	1	10
Noah Norgaard	G	34	3-11	1-8	3-3	1	4	1	10
Clinton Efinda	F	15	2-4	1-3	4-4	2	0	1	9
Lilian Marville	G	30	3-7	2-5	0-0	1	5	1	8
Domas Kauzonas	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Assane Mandian	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Frison	G	35	12-17	2-5	2-3	2	3	0	0	28
Brennan Watkins	G	32	3-9	2-6	6-6	7	4	0	0	14
Billy Smith	G	31	4-8	4-8	0-1	4	2	1	0	12
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	25	3-10	2-7	0-0	6	1	1	0	8
Collin Mulholland	F	15	2-10	1-6	2-2	3	3	0	2	7
Tate Darner	G	33	2-6	1-5	1-2	6	2	0	0	6
Makai Richards	C	11	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	1	4
Josh Bowman	F	10	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	2	1
Houston Holland	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.8Possessions76.8

110.7Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency110.7

6.5Net Efficiency-6.5

50.8%Effective FG%51.6%

56.0%True Shooting %55.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate13.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate28.1%

42.2%3-Point Rate59.4%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

UNC Greensboro won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 76.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.