Stetson

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Stetson

71.3%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -248

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStetson 72

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreJacksonville 80

Team Comparison

StetsonMetricJacksonville

40MMH Power Index43.6

107.2Offensive Efficiency109.8

115.9Defensive Efficiency110.3

-8.7Net Efficiency-0.5

-1.0Strength of Schedule-4.8

-2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

68.7Tempo66.6

53.8%Effective FG%51.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

33.6%Free Throw Rate33.9%

-6.0Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–40.0), offensive efficiency (109.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (110.3–115.9), net efficiency (-0.5–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-4.8), recent form (-2.9–-3.2), shooting efficiency (53.8–51.7).

Final

Stetson

85—89

Jacksonville

Jacksonville by 4 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StetsonTEAM STATJacksonville

30-53FG27-61

57.0%FG%44.0%

7-183PT5-12

39.0%3PT%42.0%

18-27FT30-31

67.0%FT%97.0%

24Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists12

8Turnovers6

2Steals7

3Blocks1

21Fouls22

Player Box Score

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Collin Kuhl	F	34	12-16	0-0	7-13	5	1	1	0	31
Jake Johnson	G	39	5-10	3-7	4-6	1	3	1	0	17
Finley Sheridan	F	32	5-6	1-2	1-2	6	4	0	3	12
Ethan Copeland	G	36	4-10	3-7	0-0	4	3	0	0	11
Calvin Sirmans III	G	30	3-6	0-2	4-4	1	4	0	0	10
Matar Diop	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Janusz Ratowski	F	2	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Daniel Macgregor	G	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Alex Doyle	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hayden Wood	G	35	6-15	1-3	12-12	3	2	1	0	25
Donovan Rivers	F	14	4-7	0-0	8-9	5	0	0	0	16
Jason Thirdkill Jr.	F	37	3-10	0-2	6-6	11	0	1	1	12
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	29	3-10	1-2	2-2	4	5	2	0	9
Jaylen Jones	G	27	4-6	1-1	0-0	8	2	1	0	9
Jaylen Jordon	F	14	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Evan Sterck	G	18	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	2	0	0	5
Chris Arias	G	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Charles Caporaso	C	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Enrico Borio	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

126.3Offensive Efficiency132.2

132.2Defensive Efficiency126.3

-5.9Net Efficiency5.9

63.2%Effective FG%48.4%

64.6%True Shooting %58.8%

12.0%Turnover Rate8.9%

50.9%Free Throw Rate50.8%

34.0%3-Point Rate19.7%

2.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.