Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.3%Florida Gulf Coast

29.7%North Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida Gulf Coast -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL165.4

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida Gulf Coast -237

North Florida

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 85

Projected Total165.4

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 80

Team Comparison

Florida Gulf CoastMetricNorth Florida

48.6MMH Power Index36.3

110.5Offensive Efficiency109.4

109.2Defensive Efficiency121.1

1.3Net Efficiency-11.7

-1.8Strength of Schedule-0.6

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.3

70.0Tempo72.8

52.1%Effective FG%53.6%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.2%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

29.9%Free Throw Rate29.5%

0.9Average Margin-8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida Gulf Coast HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida Gulf Coast holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.6–36.3), offensive efficiency (110.5–109.4), defensive efficiency (109.2–121.1), net efficiency (1.3–-11.7).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.8), shooting efficiency (53.6–52.1).

Final

Florida Gulf Coast

70—76

North Florida

North Florida by 6 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida Gulf CoastTEAM STATNorth Florida

25-67FG23-58

37.0%FG%40.0%

6-273PT9-32

22.0%3PT%28.0%

14-19FT21-26

74.0%FT%81.0%

39Rebounds42

14Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists10

5Turnovers11

8Steals1

5Blocks—

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
J.R. Konieczny	F	38	11-20	3-6	6-8	11	3	2	0	31
Darren Williams	G	29	5-12	2-7	0-0	2	3	0	0	12
Michael Duax	F	34	4-8	1-3	2-2	3	2	2	0	11
Isaiah Malone	F	28	3-7	0-1	2-2	6	0	1	3	8
Tristen Guillouette	C	10	1-2	0-0	2-4	3	2	0	0	4
Rahmir Barno	G	20	1-8	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
George Washington III	G	6	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Jack Reddick	G	22	0-3	0-3	0-1	5	1	2	1	0
Jordan Ellerbee	G	13	0-6	0-3	0-0	3	0	1	1	0

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kamrin Oriol	G	37	8-18	1-7	9-11	2	3	0	26
Dalton Gayman	F	26	5-6	1-1	4-5	6	1	0	15
Kent Jackson	G	34	3-12	2-9	3-4	5	2	0	11
BJ Plummer	F	31	3-8	3-6	1-2	6	0	0	10
Devin Hines	G	9	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	1	0	5
Trey Cady	F	5	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	5
Mason Lee	F	30	1-6	0-3	0-0	9	3	1	2
Nestor Dyachok	F	19	0-1	0-1	2-2	6	0	0	2
Dante Oliver	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency101.2

-8.7Net Efficiency8.7

41.8%Effective FG%47.4%

46.0%True Shooting %54.0%

7.5%Turnover Rate15.4%

28.4%Free Throw Rate44.8%

40.3%3-Point Rate55.2%

2.60Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

North Florida won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.