Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Missouri State

60.3%Louisiana Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisiana Tech -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL141.7

MODEL MONEYLINELouisiana Tech -152

Louisiana Tech

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 69

Projected Total141.7

Projected ScoreLouisiana Tech 73

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricLouisiana Tech

51.1MMH Power Index50.3

110.5Offensive Efficiency106.1

108.4Defensive Efficiency98.7

2.1Net Efficiency7.4

0.5Strength of Schedule-5.1

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

67.9Tempo65.9

51.8%Effective FG%49.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate18.5%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate33.5%

1.4Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–50.3), offensive efficiency (110.5–106.1), strength of schedule (0.5–-5.1), shooting efficiency (51.8–49.4).

Louisiana Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.7–108.4), net efficiency (7.4–2.1), recent form (5.4–-2.1).

Final

Missouri State

70—72

Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech by 2 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATLouisiana Tech

22-54FG24-50

41.0%FG%48.0%

6-173PT9-25

35.0%3PT%36.0%

20-24FT15-24

83.0%FT%63.0%

35Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists10

13Turnovers14

9Steals7

1Blocks11

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keith Palek III	F	35	10-19	2-5	7-8	6	3	0	0	29
Kobi Williams	G	37	3-5	2-4	6-6	3	3	3	0	14
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	31	5-14	0-0	2-4	10	0	0	0	12
Trey Williams Jr.	G	35	2-4	1-2	2-2	4	5	1	0	7
Antwan Burnett	G	18	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	2	0	3
Zaxton King	G	18	0-4	0-2	3-4	6	1	0	0	3
Darrion Sutton	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Melakih Cunningham	G	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	2	0	0
Cameron Boone	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisiana Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Dudley	G	38	10-19	3-9	4-5	3	2	1	1	27
Will Allen	F	32	4-8	3-6	2-2	8	1	3	2	13
Jaylen Fenner	G	20	4-9	2-5	2-2	2	1	1	1	12
Kaden Cooper	G	26	2-4	1-2	2-5	7	0	1	0	7
Scooter Williams	G	13	2-5	0-1	2-4	1	0	0	0	6
Melian Martinez	C	29	2-2	0-0	0-2	6	0	1	7	4
AJ Bates	G	38	0-3	0-2	3-4	2	5	0	0	3
Kylan Howze	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

105.4Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency105.4

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

46.3%Effective FG%57.0%

53.5%True Shooting %58.6%

19.9%Turnover Rate20.8%

44.4%Free Throw Rate48.0%

31.5%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Louisiana Tech won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.