New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%New Mexico State

73.1%Western Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Kentucky -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Kentucky -272

Western Kentucky

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 74

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 80

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricWestern Kentucky

51.2MMH Power Index55.6

108.9Offensive Efficiency110.6

104.5Defensive Efficiency106.2

4.4Net Efficiency4.4

-0.7Strength of Schedule1.7

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

68.9Tempo71.7

48.6%Effective FG%48.6%

15.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

37.0%Free Throw Rate42.9%

3.1Average Margin3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–51.2), offensive efficiency (110.6–108.9), strength of schedule (1.7–-0.7), recent form (5.2–-2.0).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.5–106.2), net efficiency (4.4–4.4), offensive rebounding (33.1–31.8).

Final

New Mexico State

70—93

Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky by 23 • 79.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATWestern Kentucky

20-61FG30-59

33.0%FG%51.0%

5-303PT11-25

17.0%3PT%44.0%

25-34FT22-31

74.0%FT%71.0%

42Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists20

13Turnovers9

4Steals9

3Blocks—

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julius Mims	F	27	4-8	0-1	5-6	10	1	0	0	13
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	26	4-9	1-2	3-6	9	0	0	0	12
Jayland Randall	G	21	3-7	2-6	2-2	3	0	1	0	10
Elijah Elliott	G	23	2-6	0-3	4-5	3	4	0	0	8
Jemel Jones	G	21	2-11	0-5	4-4	2	1	1	0	8
Chris Terrell	G	18	2-6	2-2	1-3	6	2	0	0	7
Augustine Ekwe	C	11	2-2	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	3	7
Cyr Malonga	C	6	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Gabe Pickens	G	24	0-3	0-3	2-2	0	5	1	0	2
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	18	0-6	0-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Christian Villegas	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Teysean Eaglestaff	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Teagan Moore	G	29	8-13	1-3	6-11	7	2	1	23
Grant Newell	F	30	5-9	3-5	5-6	5	2	1	18
Ryan Myers	G	25	4-8	3-7	6-6	3	2	1	17
LJ Hackman	G	23	4-9	2-2	2-4	10	1	0	12
Leeroy Odiahi	F	17	4-4	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	10
Armelo Boone	G	17	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	6	2	5
Cam Haffner	G	9	2-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	5
Terrion Murdix	G	25	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	7	3	2
Blaise Keita	F	11	0-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	1
Jack Edelen	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Noah Boyde	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Kade Unseld	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Cade Stinnett	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.0Possessions79.0

88.6Offensive Efficiency117.7

117.7Defensive Efficiency88.6

-29.1Net Efficiency29.1

36.9%Effective FG%60.2%

45.4%True Shooting %63.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate11.4%

55.7%Free Throw Rate52.5%

49.2%3-Point Rate42.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Western Kentucky won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 79.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.