Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%Morehead State

53.5%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -115

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 73

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 75

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricLittle Rock

47.3MMH Power Index44

110.8Offensive Efficiency103.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency108.2

0.8Net Efficiency-5.2

-4.0Strength of Schedule0.5

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

67.9Tempo68.5

51.3%Effective FG%50.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

37.9%Free Throw Rate28.6%

0.5Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.8–103.0), net efficiency (0.8–-5.2), recent form (3.1–-0.7).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.2–110.0), strength of schedule (0.5–-4.0).

Final

Morehead State

76—70

Little Rock

Morehead State by 6 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATLittle Rock

29-58FG26-60

50.0%FG%43.0%

5-193PT6-21

26.0%3PT%29.0%

13-19FT12-19

68.0%FT%63.0%

37Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists10

10Turnovers8

7Steals8

—Blocks2

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
George Marshall	G	33	9-14	5-8	5-6	7	1	2	28
Jon Carroll	F	32	9-13	0-0	4-5	13	2	1	22
Tyonne Farrell	F	13	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	6
Tamaury Releford	C	8	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	6
Chase Dawson	G	27	2-7	0-5	1-3	2	1	0	5
Anouar Mellouk	F	31	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	4
Davion Cunningham	G	23	1-4	0-1	2-3	2	3	1	4
Josiah LeGree	G	14	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	5	0	1
Vince Dawson III	G	11	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0
Clayton Parker	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnathan Lawson	G	33	5-8	3-6	2-2	1	1	1	0	15
Cameron Wallace	F	34	5-9	0-0	3-4	8	2	1	0	13
Braxton Bayless	G	34	5-12	0-3	2-3	3	2	1	0	12
Joseph Thomas	G	25	3-8	2-5	3-4	2	1	1	0	11
Truman Claytor IV	F	12	3-5	1-3	1-2	0	0	1	0	8
Kachi Nzeh	F	32	3-12	0-4	1-4	5	3	3	0	7
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	25	2-6	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	4
Tracy Steele Jr.	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

117.8Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency117.8

9.3Net Efficiency-9.3

54.3%Effective FG%48.3%

56.7%True Shooting %50.7%

15.6%Turnover Rate12.3%

32.8%Free Throw Rate31.7%

32.8%3-Point Rate35.0%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.