Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.7%Tarleton State

89.3%Utah Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -14.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -835

Utah Valley

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 68

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 82

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricUtah Valley

44.6MMH Power Index59.1

103.2Offensive Efficiency113.4

101.6Defensive Efficiency97.3

1.6Net Efficiency16.1

-2.3Strength of Schedule-3.3

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

72.2Tempo70.6

49.0%Effective FG%56.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

42.8%Free Throw Rate37.3%

1.1Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–44.6), offensive efficiency (113.4–103.2), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.6), net efficiency (16.1–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-3.3), free throw rate (42.8–37.3).

Final

Tarleton State

72—79

Utah Valley

Utah Valley by 7 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATUtah Valley

27-66FG28-56

41.0%FG%50.0%

8-153PT4-16

53.0%3PT%25.0%

10-16FT19-28

63.0%FT%68.0%

38Rebounds36

15Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists19

11Turnovers9

8Steals6

3Blocks9

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dior Johnson	G	30	8-20	2-5	5-8	7	4	0	0	23
Freddy Hicks	G	24	4-9	1-1	3-6	3	2	0	1	12
Ocypher Owens	F	30	4-9	2-3	0-0	13	1	1	2	10
Kaia Isaac	G	24	3-4	3-4	0-0	0	0	2	0	9
Andy Sigiscar	F	10	3-6	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Jordan Mizell	G	33	1-4	0-0	2-2	5	4	2	0	4
DJ Dormu	G	24	2-7	0-1	0-0	3	4	2	0	4
Kade Douglas	G	15	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Damion Porter Jr.	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Matyas Vrabel	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Thomas	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Davis	F	23	10-13	1-1	3-5	5	3	1	1	24
Tyler Hendricks	G	36	5-10	0-3	2-3	8	4	0	3	12
Trevan Leonhardt	G	34	4-7	2-5	1-2	7	4	1	1	11
Jackson Holcombe	G	30	3-8	0-0	5-7	9	3	2	1	11
Isaac Hawkins	F	14	3-4	0-0	4-4	1	1	0	2	10
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	22	2-7	1-5	3-4	2	0	0	0	8
Braden Housley	G	32	1-5	0-2	0-1	0	4	2	0	2
Hayden Welling	F	9	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

103.7Offensive Efficiency113.8

113.8Defensive Efficiency103.7

-10.1Net Efficiency10.1

47.0%Effective FG%53.6%

48.9%True Shooting %57.0%

15.8%Turnover Rate13.0%

24.2%Free Throw Rate50.0%

22.7%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.55Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.