North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%North Dakota State

64.5%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -182

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 75

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 79

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

59MMH Power Index59.8

115.4Offensive Efficiency116.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

14.6Net Efficiency14.6

-4.6Strength of Schedule-3.6

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

69.6Tempo70.0

54.5%Effective FG%59.2%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

31.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

10.1Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–59.0), offensive efficiency (116.8–115.4), strength of schedule (-3.6–-4.6), recent form (14.7–14.3).

North Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.8–102.2), net efficiency (14.6–14.6), offensive rebounding (32.0–22.1).

Final

North Dakota State

62—84

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 22 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

22-61FG32-57

36.0%FG%56.0%

6-253PT14-35

24.0%3PT%40.0%

12-17FT6-7

71.0%FT%86.0%

32Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds4

14Assists23

7Turnovers8

5Steals3

2Blocks6

10Fouls15

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Feddersen	F	16	3-7	0-2	7-9	3	0	0	1	13
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	29	3-12	3-8	2-2	2	3	2	0	11
Treyson Anderson	F	19	4-8	1-4	2-3	0	1	0	0	11
Andy Stefonowicz	G	31	3-8	0-3	0-0	5	2	2	0	6
Trevian Carson	G	22	2-7	1-2	1-1	7	2	0	1	6
Emil Skytta	G	13	3-7	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Tay Smith	G	22	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Markhi Strickland	G	25	1-4	0-0	0-2	3	2	1	0	2
Riley Massey	G	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	2
Carson Smith	G	5	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Max Majerle	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Caleb Schoenrock	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carter Bjerke	F	28	7-9	7-9	0-0	4	2	0	1	21
Nick Janowski	G	28	9-11	3-5	0-1	3	4	0	2	21
Nolan Minessale	G	33	6-10	1-5	4-4	7	6	3	1	17
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu	F	22	3-9	0-4	2-2	5	2	0	0	8
Hayden Tibbits	G	15	3-5	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Ben Oosterbaan	F	24	2-6	1-4	0-0	5	1	0	1	5
Jermaine Coleman	G	8	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Ryan Dufault	G	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Austin Herro	G	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	4	0	1	0
Tim Franks	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Adam Tauer	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Tauer	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

95.1Offensive Efficiency128.8

128.8Defensive Efficiency95.1

-33.7Net Efficiency33.7

41.0%Effective FG%68.4%

44.9%True Shooting %69.6%

10.6%Turnover Rate12.4%

27.9%Free Throw Rate12.3%

41.0%3-Point Rate61.4%

2.00Assist / Turnover2.88

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.