Hawai'i

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.0%Hawai'i

46.0%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHawai'i -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHawai'i -117

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHawai'i 78

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreUC Davis 76

Team Comparison

Hawai'iMetricUC Davis

54.4MMH Power Index48.4

109.4Offensive Efficiency107.2

97.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

12.4Net Efficiency3.5

-2.8Strength of Schedule-1.9

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

72.8Tempo72.4

52.4%Effective FG%52.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate17.7%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

43.4%Free Throw Rate41.5%

9.0Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hawai'i HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHawai'i holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (109.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–103.7), net efficiency (12.4–3.5).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.9–-2.8), recent form (-0.1–-1.8), ball security (17.7–18.4).

Final

Hawai'i

77—73

UC Davis

Hawai'i by 4 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Hawai'iTEAM STATUC Davis

28-55FG22-51

51.0%FG%43.0%

10-223PT8-26

45.0%3PT%31.0%

11-13FT21-26

85.0%FT%81.0%

27Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists10

13Turnovers17

10Steals6

6Blocks1

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Hawai'i

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Johnson	C	17	5-9	3-5	3-3	1	2	1	1	16
Hunter Erickson	G	38	5-8	3-5	2-2	6	6	2	1	15
Isaac Finlinson	F	36	5-10	1-4	2-2	4	1	3	1	13
Harry Rouhliadeff	F	31	4-7	2-2	1-2	3	0	2	1	11
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	17	4-8	1-3	1-2	3	1	0	1	10
Yacine Toumi	F	15	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	6
Dre Bullock	G	25	2-6	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	1	4
Isaiah Kerr	G	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
AJ Economou	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Wilson	G	32	9-17	1-3	6-9	1	1	1	0	25
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	32	4-9	3-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
Connor Sevilla	G	28	2-9	1-7	6-6	1	1	0	0	11
Niko Rocak	F	29	1-2	0-1	8-9	6	3	3	0	10
Omer Suljanovic	F	22	3-5	1-2	0-0	8	0	0	1	7
Isaiah Chappell	F	27	2-6	1-5	1-2	7	2	0	0	6
Brayden Fagbemi	G	25	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	3	2	0	3
Chase Rawlins	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

111.9Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency111.9

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

60.0%Effective FG%51.0%

62.9%True Shooting %57.6%

19.1%Turnover Rate24.5%

23.6%Free Throw Rate51.0%

40.0%3-Point Rate51.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

Hawai'i won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.