Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Portland State

70.8%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -242

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 72

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricMontana State

50.2MMH Power Index53.6

109.3Offensive Efficiency114.4

100.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

9.1Net Efficiency9.5

-5.6Strength of Schedule-3.7

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

70.1Tempo68.1

51.7%Effective FG%55.1%

16.6%Turnover Rate14.7%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

6.4Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–109.3), net efficiency (9.5–9.1), strength of schedule (-3.7–-5.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–104.9), offensive rebounding (31.6–28.1), free throw rate (36.8–30.7).

Final

Portland State

69—84

Montana State

Montana State by 15 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATMontana State

26-58FG29-56

45.0%FG%52.0%

9-183PT15-30

50.0%3PT%50.0%

8-14FT11-15

57.0%FT%73.0%

29Rebounds24

10Offensive Rebounds3

9Assists18

15Turnovers11

6Steals10

4Blocks3

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terri Miller Jr.	F	31	10-15	5-7	3-3	4	1	1	0	28
Jaylin Henderson	G	36	7-19	2-5	3-5	2	5	3	0	19
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	28	4-5	0-0	0-2	11	0	0	3	8
Brycen Long	G	18	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Sebastian Tidor	G	10	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	26	1-6	0-1	0-0	9	0	1	1	2
Alex Dupre	G	12	0-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Samuel Stewart IV	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Colt Ness	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kelcy Phipps	G	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Isaiah Williams	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brayden Barron	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Charles Chukwu	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jed Miller	G	38	7-15	4-8	7-9	9	6	3	1	25
Seth Amunrud	G	29	8-11	6-8	0-0	4	0	2	0	22
Christian King	F	31	4-13	2-8	3-4	5	2	0	0	13
Chris Hodges	F	28	4-5	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	2	9
Jeremiah Davis	G	27	3-5	2-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	8
Jaden Steppe	F	12	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Howie Keene	G	30	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	4	2	0	2
Patrick McMahon	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

98.0Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency98.0

-21.3Net Efficiency21.3

52.6%Effective FG%65.2%

53.4%True Shooting %66.5%

21.5%Turnover Rate15.5%

24.1%Free Throw Rate26.8%

31.0%3-Point Rate53.6%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Montana State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.