Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Sacramento State

68.5%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana -217

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 76

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreMontana 83

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricMontana

43MMH Power Index45.4

106.1Offensive Efficiency108.6

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.8

-5.9Net Efficiency3.8

0.9Strength of Schedule-2.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

73.2Tempo71.2

48.5%Effective FG%56.3%

14.2%Turnover Rate19.2%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

41.8%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-4.3Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.4–43.0), offensive efficiency (108.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.8–112.0), net efficiency (3.8–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.4), ball security (14.2–19.2), offensive rebounding (25.1–21.9).

Final

Sacramento State

73—81

Montana

Montana by 8 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATMontana

27-67FG27-53

40.0%FG%51.0%

5-203PT11-29

25.0%3PT%38.0%

14-18FT16-20

78.0%FT%80.0%

36Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds4

11Assists18

8Turnovers13

9Steals6

—Blocks3

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	37	6-17	2-7	0-1	7	6	0	14
Taj Glover	G	20	4-7	0-2	4-5	0	1	2	12
Arman Madi	G	33	5-9	1-2	0-0	4	2	1	11
Shaqir O'Neal	F	25	2-5	1-2	6-7	2	1	1	11
Jahni Summers	G	24	3-8	0-2	3-3	2	0	1	9
Mark Lavrenov	F	24	4-11	0-2	0-0	12	0	1	8
Romari Robinson	G	18	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	1	3	5
Jayden Teat	G	19	1-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	3

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Money Williams	G	29	4-8	3-5	9-10	3	3	1	0	20
Brooklyn Hicks	G	31	6-14	2-8	2-4	5	1	2	2	16
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	31	5-7	1-2	0-0	12	4	2	0	11
Tyler Thompson	G	36	3-10	3-9	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Tyler Isaak	G	24	3-5	1-2	2-2	1	4	0	1	9
Grant Kepley	G	20	3-5	0-1	3-4	5	5	0	0	9
Kenyon Aguino	F	22	3-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Connor Dick	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Trae Taylor	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

101.2Offensive Efficiency112.3

112.3Defensive Efficiency101.2

-11.1Net Efficiency11.1

44.0%Effective FG%61.3%

48.3%True Shooting %64.8%

11.0%Turnover Rate18.2%

26.9%Free Throw Rate37.7%

29.9%3-Point Rate54.7%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Montana won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.