Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.8%Long Beach State

75.2%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL164.3

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -303

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 79

Projected Total164.3

Projected ScoreCal Poly 86

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricCal Poly

41.1MMH Power Index46.5

103.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency111.0

-4.0Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.4Strength of Schedule1.7

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

72.2Tempo76.6

51.5%Effective FG%52.2%

17.7%Turnover Rate19.8%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

31.1%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-2.9Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.8), net efficiency (-3.8–-4.0), strength of schedule (1.7–-1.4).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.8–111.0), ball security (17.7–19.8).

Final

Long Beach State

92—102

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 10 • 80.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATCal Poly

34-73FG34-73

47.0%FG%47.0%

9-273PT13-37

33.0%3PT%35.0%

15-17FT21-22

88.0%FT%95.0%

38Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists14

8Turnovers8

5Steals5

5Blocks2

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Sykes	G	29	9-22	5-11	5-6	3	2	0	0	28
Shaquil Bender	G	32	7-13	2-7	2-2	3	5	1	0	18
Petar Majstorovic	F	30	7-13	0-3	1-2	4	2	1	1	15
Rob Diaz III	G	16	4-6	1-2	2-2	3	2	1	0	11
Leopold Levillain	F	22	3-4	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	1	8
Cole Farrell	G	21	2-4	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Dallas Washington	F	10	1-4	0-1	1-1	3	0	1	0	3
Isaiah Lewis	G	15	0-4	0-1	2-2	1	3	0	1	2
Christian Jones	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	1	2
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hamad Mousa	G	28	8-14	4-7	9-10	6	0	1	1	29
Cayden Ward	G	30	11-18	2-8	4-4	9	5	0	0	28
Jess Esso Essis	G	20	5-11	3-7	2-2	4	1	0	1	15
Austin Goode	F	28	3-9	1-4	2-2	3	2	0	0	9
Peter Bandelj	G	27	3-7	1-3	2-2	6	2	3	0	9
Guzman Vasilic	G	21	2-5	2-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	8
Troy Plumtree	F	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Jake Davis	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Jackson Mosley	PG	9	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Ali Assran	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.3Possessions80.3

114.6Offensive Efficiency127.0

127.0Defensive Efficiency114.6

-12.5Net Efficiency12.5

52.7%Effective FG%55.5%

56.7%True Shooting %61.1%

10.0%Turnover Rate9.9%

23.3%Free Throw Rate30.1%

37.0%3-Point Rate50.7%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 80.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.