UC Irvine

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.5%UC Irvine

39.5%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -153

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 79

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 77

Team Comparison

UC IrvineMetricCal State Northridge

58.4MMH Power Index50

106.9Offensive Efficiency107.3

95.0Defensive Efficiency105.2

11.9Net Efficiency2.1

-1.0Strength of Schedule-0.6

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

72.3Tempo75.9

50.7%Effective FG%51.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

36.5%Free Throw Rate34.7%

8.6Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–50.0), defensive efficiency (95.0–105.2), net efficiency (11.9–2.1), recent form (10.0–1.8).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.3–106.9), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.0), shooting efficiency (51.0–50.7).

Final

UC Irvine

68—67

Cal State Northridge

UC Irvine by 1 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC IrvineTEAM STATCal State Northridge

27-58FG25-61

47.0%FG%41.0%

5-163PT4-19

31.0%3PT%21.0%

9-11FT13-21

82.0%FT%62.0%

33Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds15

21Assists10

18Turnovers17

14Steals10

8Blocks6

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jurian Dixon	G	32	6-12	2-5	0-1	1	4	2	0	14
Derin Saran	G	28	6-14	1-2	0-0	5	1	4	0	13
Harrison Carrington	F	26	5-7	0-0	1-2	5	1	3	1	11
Andre Henry	G	24	4-9	1-5	2-2	3	4	0	0	11
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	18	3-6	1-2	2-2	5	7	3	2	9
Kyle Evans	F	31	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	4	4
Tama Isaac	G	20	0-4	0-2	2-2	1	3	1	0	2
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	2
Elijah Chol	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Nes Emeneke	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua O'Garro	G	35	8-18	1-5	0-0	10	0	3	1	17
Josiah Davis	G	35	6-12	0-2	3-3	3	6	0	0	15
Larry Hughes II	G	30	2-8	1-4	7-7	1	1	3	0	12
James Evans Jr.	G	27	3-13	1-6	0-0	4	1	1	0	7
Mahmoud Fofana	F	32	2-3	0-0	2-4	4	2	3	4	6
Jordan Brinson	G	23	2-3	1-1	0-0	7	0	0	0	5
Grady Lewis	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	1	2
Jai Chisolm	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	2
Davius Loury	F	2	0-1	0-1	1-3	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

93.0Offensive Efficiency91.7

91.7Defensive Efficiency93.0

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

50.9%Effective FG%44.3%

53.8%True Shooting %47.2%

24.6%Turnover Rate23.3%

19.0%Free Throw Rate34.4%

27.6%3-Point Rate31.1%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.