Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.4%Cal State Bakersfield

94.6%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -19.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -1752

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 67

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 86

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricUC San Diego

32.2MMH Power Index53.4

100.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

112.6Defensive Efficiency100.7

-12.4Net Efficiency7.7

-1.7Strength of Schedule-1.3

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

73.0Tempo69.8

46.4%Effective FG%53.1%

18.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

43.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-9.1Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (108.4–100.2), defensive efficiency (100.7–112.6), net efficiency (7.7–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–26.9), free throw rate (43.8–33.2).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

72—84

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 12 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATUC San Diego

22-49FG26-52

45.0%FG%50.0%

3-213PT8-22

14.0%3PT%36.0%

25-32FT24-35

78.0%FT%69.0%

26Rebounds37

4Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists15

13Turnovers12

8Steals9

1Blocks1

20Fouls25

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ronald Jessamy	F	38	14-21	0-2	12-14	9	2	0	1	40
Dailin Smith	G	31	3-9	2-7	9-11	1	2	0	0	17
AJ George	G	29	4-4	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Kadar Waller	G	32	1-3	0-1	3-3	4	4	4	0	5
Bentley Waller	G	18	0-4	0-2	1-2	1	1	1	0	1
Tom Mark	F	25	0-4	0-4	0-0	3	0	3	0	0
CJ Hardy	G	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Mike Price	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dylan Purnell	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hudson Mayes	G	32	6-14	0-4	9-10	7	2	2	0	21
Bol Dengdit	F	22	4-4	0-0	7-10	4	3	0	1	15
Tom Beattie	G	30	4-9	2-4	1-2	10	3	1	0	11
Alex Chaikin	G	29	4-9	3-7	0-0	4	0	0	0	11
Dimitrije Vukicevic	C	17	2-3	0-0	3-8	2	1	1	0	7
Emanuel Prospere II	G	10	2-3	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	6
Jaden Vance	F	19	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Aidan Burke	G	14	1-1	1-1	2-3	0	1	1	0	5
Leo Beath	F	27	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	4	3	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

100.8Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency100.8

-16.8Net Efficiency16.8

48.0%Effective FG%57.7%

56.1%True Shooting %61.2%

17.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

65.3%Free Throw Rate67.3%

42.9%3-Point Rate42.3%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.