UT Arlington

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%UT Arlington

81.4%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL137.5

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -438

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 64

Projected Total137.5

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 73

Team Comparison

UT ArlingtonMetricCalifornia Baptist

49.6MMH Power Index58.3

102.7Offensive Efficiency106.5

97.9Defensive Efficiency99.0

4.8Net Efficiency7.5

-0.8Strength of Schedule1.8

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

68.1Tempo68.2

48.5%Effective FG%48.8%

20.4%Turnover Rate17.9%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

43.7%Free Throw Rate37.0%

3.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–49.6), offensive efficiency (106.5–102.7), net efficiency (7.5–4.8), strength of schedule (1.8–-0.8).

UT Arlington COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (97.9–99.0), free throw rate (43.7–37.0).

Final

UT Arlington

56—68

California Baptist

California Baptist by 12 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT ArlingtonTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

21-60FG26-57

35.0%FG%46.0%

3-183PT8-20

17.0%3PT%40.0%

11-16FT8-11

69.0%FT%73.0%

37Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds9

5Assists9

9Turnovers9

5Steals2

3Blocks3

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cash Chavis	G	29	6-11	2-2	1-2	6	1	0	1	15
Marcell McCreary	G	31	4-9	0-3	2-2	6	1	0	0	10
Tyran Mason	G	26	3-7	0-2	2-3	4	0	2	0	8
Jordan Lowery	G	17	2-7	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Raysean Seamster	F	16	2-7	0-2	0-0	6	1	0	0	4
Cameron Jackson	F	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	4
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	17	0-5	0-3	3-4	2	0	0	0	3
Bahsil Laster	G	15	0-0	0-0	3-4	1	0	1	0	3
Miles Goodman	F	28	1-9	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Jayden Smoot	G	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Amari Reed	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	39	11-22	2-7	4-4	3	4	0	0	28
Jayden Jackson	G	31	4-12	4-8	0-0	4	1	0	0	12
Martel Williams	G	35	3-6	1-2	4-4	3	2	0	0	11
Bradey Henige	F	21	2-3	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	0	4
Thomas Ndong	F	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	4
Devon Malcolm	F	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Miles Daniels	G	12	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jonathan Griman	F	31	1-2	0-0	0-2	7	1	1	2	2
Jordan Muller	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nate Garcia	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

89.0Offensive Efficiency108.1

108.1Defensive Efficiency89.0

-19.1Net Efficiency19.1

37.5%Effective FG%52.6%

41.4%True Shooting %54.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

26.7%Free Throw Rate19.3%

30.0%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.