Louisiana

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.7%Louisiana

93.3%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -17.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -1393

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisiana 65

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreArkansas State 83

Team Comparison

LouisianaMetricArkansas State

38.6MMH Power Index57.7

99.3Offensive Efficiency113.1

110.2Defensive Efficiency105.3

-10.9Net Efficiency7.8

1.5Strength of Schedule-1.0

-9.0Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

64.1Tempo73.3

47.1%Effective FG%52.7%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

29.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-7.0Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–38.6), offensive efficiency (113.1–99.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–110.2), net efficiency (7.8–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-1.0), ball security (16.8–19.4).

Final

Louisiana

58—81

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 23 • 75.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisianaTEAM STATArkansas State

20-64FG29-62

31.0%FG%47.0%

6-223PT11-32

27.0%3PT%34.0%

12-23FT12-24

52.0%FT%50.0%

43Rebounds49

9Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists19

9Turnovers12

9Steals2

3Blocks6

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Karris Bilal	G	30	4-11	0-2	7-11	6	0	2	0	15
Jaxon Olvera	G	33	5-17	1-5	2-4	14	3	0	0	13
De'Vion Lavergne	G	32	4-10	3-4	0-0	3	4	3	1	11
Dariyus Woodson	F	27	2-8	2-8	1-3	7	0	0	1	7
Jeremiah Evans	F	14	2-6	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	0	5
Todd Jones Jr.	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Mike Collins	G	20	1-6	0-0	1-2	5	2	2	0	3
Milan Mejia	G	28	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Kyran Ratliff	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Michael Mouton	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Landry	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Caldwell	G	25	6-10	5-9	2-2	2	1	1	2	19
Matt Hayman	G	24	6-11	3-6	0-1	5	5	0	0	15
Jalen Hampton	G	32	5-7	1-3	2-4	10	0	0	0	13
Aly Tounkara	F	28	4-6	0-0	1-4	10	0	0	2	9
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	21	2-2	1-1	2-5	2	1	0	0	7
Christian Harmon	G	23	1-8	1-7	3-4	3	4	0	1	6
Royal Blue Smith	G	11	3-6	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Chandler Jackson	G	18	2-5	0-1	0-2	3	4	1	1	4
Joey Chammaa	G	16	0-5	0-2	2-2	10	2	0	0	2
Fredy-Salam Sylla	G	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.7Possessions75.7

76.6Offensive Efficiency107.0

107.0Defensive Efficiency76.6

-30.4Net Efficiency30.4

35.9%Effective FG%55.6%

38.7%True Shooting %55.2%

12.0%Turnover Rate15.7%

35.9%Free Throw Rate38.7%

34.4%3-Point Rate51.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 75.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.