Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Dayton

62.2%George Washington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorge Washington -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorge Washington -165

George Washington

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 73

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreGeorge Washington 78

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricGeorge Washington

59.9MMH Power Index59.8

108.5Offensive Efficiency115.4

101.5Defensive Efficiency105.2

7.0Net Efficiency10.2

5.7Strength of Schedule3.1

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

68.3Tempo70.5

52.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

47.6%Free Throw Rate35.6%

4.8Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–59.8), defensive efficiency (101.5–105.2), strength of schedule (5.7–3.1), recent form (6.4–0.9).

George Washington COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.4–108.5), net efficiency (10.2–7.0), shooting efficiency (55.0–52.0).

Final

Dayton

68—66

George Washington

Dayton by 2 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATGeorge Washington

20-41FG22-48

49.0%FG%46.0%

11-243PT6-20

46.0%3PT%30.0%

17-21FT16-29

81.0%FT%55.0%

22Rebounds35

2Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists14

17Turnovers20

14Steals7

3Blocks3

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	36	8-13	6-9	3-4	1	4	0	0	25
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	29	4-8	2-6	1-2	3	2	3	0	11
Amaël L'Etang	F	30	2-7	0-2	6-6	4	2	3	0	10
Jaiun Simon	F	33	3-4	0-0	3-3	4	2	3	0	9
Keonte Jones	G	26	1-2	1-2	1-2	2	3	3	2	4
Jordan Derkack	G	19	0-2	0-1	3-4	2	2	1	0	3
Bryce Heard	G	18	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
Jacob Conner	F	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Damon Friery	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

George Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rafael Castro	F	35	7-12	0-0	2-10	6	2	1	1	16
Trey Autry	G	36	3-8	3-8	6-7	7	1	0	0	15
Jean Aranguren	G	35	4-9	1-4	3-3	6	5	4	0	12
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	23	5-7	2-2	0-2	4	0	1	2	12
Luke Hunger	F	24	1-4	0-1	4-4	6	2	1	0	6
Christian Jones	G	22	1-4	0-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Garrett Johnson	F	13	1-3	0-2	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Bubu Benjamin	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Tre Dinkins	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

101.6Offensive Efficiency98.7

98.7Defensive Efficiency101.6

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

62.2%Effective FG%52.1%

66.7%True Shooting %53.4%

25.8%Turnover Rate29.5%

51.2%Free Throw Rate60.4%

58.5%3-Point Rate41.7%

0.94Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Dayton won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.