Siena

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.6%Siena

52.4%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL140.7

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -110

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSiena 70

Projected Total140.7

Projected ScoreFairfield 71

Team Comparison

SienaMetricFairfield

53.8MMH Power Index50.1

109.2Offensive Efficiency109.6

102.2Defensive Efficiency105.4

7.0Net Efficiency4.2

-0.5Strength of Schedule-3.4

3.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

64.4Tempo67.8

50.7%Effective FG%49.1%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

34.9%Free Throw Rate28.4%

4.5Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–50.1), defensive efficiency (102.2–105.4), net efficiency (7.0–4.2), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.4).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–109.2), recent form (3.3–3.0), ball security (15.0–15.8).

Final

Siena

58—72

Fairfield

Fairfield by 14 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SienaTEAM STATFairfield

22-62FG31-60

35.0%FG%52.0%

4-233PT4-14

17.0%3PT%29.0%

10-12FT6-13

83.0%FT%46.0%

24Rebounds49

6Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists8

9Turnovers17

6Steals7

3Blocks2

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Doty	G	40	9-19	2-6	6-6	7	1	2	0	26
Justice Shoats	G	40	3-12	0-2	3-5	1	6	1	0	9
Francis Folefac	F	28	4-6	0-0	1-1	5	0	1	2	9
Isaiah Henderson	F	27	2-6	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Christian Jones	G	24	2-9	1-5	0-0	0	3	2	0	5
Brendan Coyle	F	29	1-7	0-6	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Riley Mulvey	C	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	2

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Sparks	G	37	9-17	1-6	0-0	5	2	3	1	19
Deuce Turner	G	26	6-11	2-5	3-3	2	2	1	0	17
Isaac Munkadi	F	25	6-6	0-0	1-5	8	0	0	0	13
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	34	4-10	0-0	2-4	17	0	0	1	10
Tony Williams	G	13	2-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Eric Mejia	G	25	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	0	4
Michael Rogan	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ryan Zan	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	2
Halon Rawlins	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Nasir Rodriguez	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

82.9Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency82.9

-20.0Net Efficiency20.0

38.7%Effective FG%55.0%

42.8%True Shooting %54.4%

12.7%Turnover Rate24.6%

19.4%Free Throw Rate21.7%

37.1%3-Point Rate23.3%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.