Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%Old Dominion

39.8%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOld Dominion -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEOld Dominion -151

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 76

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 75

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricGeorgia State

47.2MMH Power Index38.9

107.4Offensive Efficiency101.3

109.8Defensive Efficiency107.5

-2.4Net Efficiency-6.2

-0.1Strength of Schedule-1.7

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

70.9Tempo69.5

50.9%Effective FG%45.3%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.4%

-1.7Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Old Dominion HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOld Dominion holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.2–38.9), offensive efficiency (107.4–101.3), net efficiency (-2.4–-6.2), strength of schedule (-0.1–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–109.8), offensive rebounding (28.2–26.1), free throw rate (37.4–35.2).

Final

Old Dominion

81—73

Georgia State

Old Dominion by 8 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATGeorgia State

27-53FG24-63

51.0%FG%38.0%

4-143PT3-20

29.0%3PT%15.0%

23-30FT22-34

77.0%FT%65.0%

34Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists11

13Turnovers6

4Steals12

4Blocks3

27Fouls24

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Battle	G	36	6-12	2-6	6-8	3	3	1	0	20
LJ Thomas	G	31	7-9	0-0	4-4	5	4	0	0	18
Zacch Wiggins	G	31	4-6	0-1	1-1	7	0	0	0	9
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	27	1-2	0-0	6-10	5	2	0	3	8
KC Shaw	G	21	3-10	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
Jared Turner	F	21	2-7	1-4	3-4	4	0	0	0	8
Robert Davis Jr.	G	18	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	3	1	0	5
Donovan Raymond	F	4	2-2	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	1	5
Scottie Hubbard	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	0
Rieco Hellams	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jelani Hamilton	G	36	3-15	1-8	13-15	3	3	4	0	20
Micah Tucker	G	38	7-12	1-3	4-7	2	2	0	0	19
Malachi Brown	G	33	4-11	0-2	3-6	5	3	2	0	11
Anthony Enoh	F	22	4-7	1-2	1-3	1	1	1	2	10
Joah Chappelle	F	34	3-8	0-1	1-2	11	1	3	0	7
Trey Scott III	F	13	3-5	0-1	0-1	8	0	0	1	6
Ayouba Berthe	G	12	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	1	2	0	0
Christian Beam	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Jones	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
James Cooper	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

109.8Offensive Efficiency98.9

98.9Defensive Efficiency109.8

10.8Net Efficiency-10.8

54.7%Effective FG%40.5%

60.2%True Shooting %46.1%

17.5%Turnover Rate8.2%

56.6%Free Throw Rate54.0%

26.4%3-Point Rate31.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Old Dominion won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.