Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.5%Boise State

29.5%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -239

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 77

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreFresno State 73

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricFresno State

59.5MMH Power Index47.1

113.9Offensive Efficiency104.9

107.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

6.8Net Efficiency0.0

4.2Strength of Schedule1.5

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

68.6Tempo69.4

52.7%Effective FG%51.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.2%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

42.7%Free Throw Rate35.5%

4.7Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.9–104.9), net efficiency (6.8–0.0), strength of schedule (4.2–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–107.1).

Final

Boise State

69—53

Fresno State

Boise State by 16 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATFresno State

26-65FG22-54

40.0%FG%41.0%

11-373PT3-18

30.0%3PT%17.0%

6-8FT6-9

75.0%FT%67.0%

44Rebounds30

17Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists7

9Turnovers8

5Steals4

—Blocks4

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Javan Buchanan	F	34	11-18	3-6	1-1	6	3	2	26
Andrew Meadow	F	34	5-15	3-10	1-3	5	1	1	14
Dylan Andrews	G	31	3-12	1-8	4-4	6	3	0	11
Dominic Parolin	F	15	3-4	1-1	0-0	9	0	1	7
Spencer Ahrens	F	10	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	5
RJ Keene II	G	30	1-4	1-4	0-0	4	0	1	3
Bhan Buom	F	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
Drew Fielder	C	25	0-4	0-2	0-0	6	0	0	0
Aginaldo Neto	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DeShawn Gory	F	39	9-20	0-3	2-5	11	0	2	1	20
Wilson Jacques	C	32	7-12	0-2	2-2	4	0	0	1	16
Jac Mani	F	17	3-5	1-3	0-0	5	1	0	1	7
Jake Heidbreder	G	37	1-9	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Cameron Faas	G	20	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	3
Bastien Rieber	G	34	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	5	0	0	2
Gasper Kocevar	C	13	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	1	2
Aram Soqui Urbano	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Matteo Porto	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

114.8Offensive Efficiency88.2

88.2Defensive Efficiency114.8

26.6Net Efficiency-26.6

48.5%Effective FG%43.5%

50.1%True Shooting %45.5%

14.8%Turnover Rate13.5%

12.3%Free Throw Rate16.7%

56.9%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Boise State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.