Iowa

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

87.3%Iowa

12.7%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -11.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -687

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa 80

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScorePenn State 68

Team Comparison

IowaMetricPenn State

64.2MMH Power Index42.3

118.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency117.6

13.2Net Efficiency-8.4

5.3Strength of Schedule5.3

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

63.0Tempo67.5

56.6%Effective FG%53.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

36.2%Free Throw Rate34.6%

8.3Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–42.3), offensive efficiency (118.4–109.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–117.6), net efficiency (13.2–-8.4).

Final

Iowa

69—71

Penn State

Penn State by 2 • 59.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IowaTEAM STATPenn State

26-57FG25-39

46.0%FG%64.0%

9-283PT9-15

32.0%3PT%60.0%

8-9FT12-16

89.0%FT%75.0%

24Rebounds24

10Offensive Rebounds2

17Assists13

8Turnovers15

7Steals3

1Blocks2

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Koch	F	31	6-9	5-7	1-1	1	1	0	0	18
Bennett Stirtz	G	40	6-15	2-7	2-2	1	5	0	1	16
Cam Manyawu	F	24	3-4	0-0	2-2	7	2	3	0	8
Kael Combs	G	24	4-7	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Tavion Banks	G	29	2-4	0-1	2-2	7	1	2	0	6
Alvaro Folgueiras	F	17	2-6	0-3	1-2	2	3	1	0	5
Isaia Howard	G	15	2-5	1-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
Tate Sage	G	5	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Brendan Hausen	G	15	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Reed	F	35	9-12	3-4	4-4	3	4	1	0	25
Freddie Dilione V	G	34	5-10	3-6	2-2	5	2	1	1	15
Ivan Juric	F	29	5-6	0-0	1-3	8	2	0	0	11
Kayden Mingo	G	28	2-4	1-1	4-6	1	3	0	0	9
Dominick Stewart	G	34	3-3	2-2	0-0	3	2	0	1	8
Saša Ciani	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Melih Tunca	G	14	0-2	0-1	1-1	0	0	1	0	1
Eli Rice	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mason Blackwood	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.5Possessions59.5

116.0Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency116.0

-3.4Net Efficiency3.4

53.5%Effective FG%75.6%

56.3%True Shooting %76.2%

13.5%Turnover Rate25.2%

15.8%Free Throw Rate41.0%

49.1%3-Point Rate38.5%

2.13Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

Penn State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 59.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.