NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%NC State

34.3%Notre Dame

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -192

Notre Dame

13-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 81

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 77

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricNotre Dame

60.1MMH Power Index49.7

118.4Offensive Efficiency110.3

108.6Defensive Efficiency111.2

9.8Net Efficiency-0.9

6.4Strength of Schedule4.7

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6

70.2Tempo68.0

55.1%Effective FG%53.0%

13.1%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

35.7%Free Throw Rate34.7%

6.9Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–49.7), offensive efficiency (118.4–110.3), defensive efficiency (108.6–111.2), net efficiency (9.8–-0.9).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-11.6–-11.9), offensive rebounding (31.4–28.2).

Final

NC State

90—96

Notre Dame

Notre Dame by 6 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATNotre Dame

31-67FG31-59

46.0%FG%53.0%

10-343PT12-25

29.0%3PT%48.0%

18-22FT22-28

82.0%FT%79.0%

32Rebounds40

12Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists15

6Turnovers12

10Steals3

3Blocks—

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	39	8-10	0-0	8-9	10	0	0	1	24
Quadir Copeland	G	42	5-8	0-0	7-8	2	9	2	0	17
Darrion Williams	F	33	7-17	3-10	0-0	6	2	3	0	17
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	36	4-13	3-11	0-0	4	0	1	0	11
Terrance Arceneaux	G	20	3-7	1-3	2-2	2	0	1	1	9
Tre Holloman	G	35	2-8	2-7	0-0	2	2	2	1	6
Matt Able	G	16	2-4	1-3	1-3	1	1	1	0	6
Musa Sagnia	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Scottie Ebube	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Cole Certa	G	41	9-17	6-10	8-9	2	2	0	32
Jalen Haralson	F	28	8-15	0-1	9-10	9	2	2	25
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	41	5-10	3-6	3-4	5	3	0	16
Sir Mohammed	G	22	4-6	0-1	2-3	3	3	0	10
Logan Imes	G	36	3-8	2-5	0-0	3	3	0	8
Ryder Frost	F	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	3
Carson Towt	F	30	1-1	0-0	0-2	9	0	1	2
Garrett Sundra	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0
Brady Koehler	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

126.1Offensive Efficiency134.5

134.5Defensive Efficiency126.1

-8.4Net Efficiency8.4

53.7%Effective FG%62.7%

58.1%True Shooting %66.4%

8.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

32.8%Free Throw Rate47.5%

50.7%3-Point Rate42.4%

2.33Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Notre Dame won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.