Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.0%Saint Francis

86.0%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -13.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -614

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 68

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 82

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricCentral Connecticut

32.7MMH Power Index44.4

101.2Offensive Efficiency111.4

114.7Defensive Efficiency107.0

-13.5Net Efficiency4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-7.7

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

70.6Tempo66.3

49.8%Effective FG%54.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

31.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-9.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–32.7), offensive efficiency (111.4–101.2), defensive efficiency (107.0–114.7), net efficiency (4.4–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-7.7), offensive rebounding (28.4–28.2).

Final

Saint Francis

64—69

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 5 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

24-55FG27-54

44.0%FG%50.0%

3-163PT5-15

19.0%3PT%33.0%

13-18FT10-11

72.0%FT%91.0%

31Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists13

13Turnovers13

6Steals7

2Blocks2

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Moncrief	G	35	6-13	0-2	4-5	4	0	1	0	16
Skylar Wicks	G	37	4-12	0-4	5-8	5	6	2	1	13
Gestin Liberis	F	31	5-12	0-0	0-1	11	0	1	1	10
Victor Payne	G	28	3-5	2-4	2-2	3	0	1	0	10
Zion Russell	G	26	4-8	0-3	0-0	5	3	0	0	8
Ahmad Harrison	G	28	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Cameron Tweedy	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Brandon Russell	G	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Paris Papadatos	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	35	7-12	2-3	6-6	7	1	1	0	22
Melo Sanchez	G	35	6-13	1-6	0-1	3	0	3	0	13
Max Frazier	F	28	5-8	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	2	10
James Jones	G	28	3-6	1-2	0-0	6	2	2	0	7
Jay Rodgers	G	29	2-6	0-2	2-2	0	8	1	0	6
Ashton Reynolds	G	10	1-3	1-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	5
Nico Ashley	F	8	2-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Jayden Mott	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Elijah Parker	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Daniel James	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

98.6Offensive Efficiency106.3

106.3Defensive Efficiency98.6

-7.7Net Efficiency7.7

46.4%Effective FG%54.6%

50.4%True Shooting %58.3%

19.8%Turnover Rate20.2%

32.7%Free Throw Rate20.4%

29.1%3-Point Rate27.8%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.