New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%New Mexico State

65.8%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -192

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 72

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 77

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricMiddle Tennessee

51.2MMH Power Index52.5

108.9Offensive Efficiency109.6

104.5Defensive Efficiency105.7

4.4Net Efficiency3.9

-0.7Strength of Schedule0.4

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

68.9Tempo68.8

48.6%Effective FG%52.2%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.7%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate33.2%

3.1Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.5–105.7), net efficiency (4.4–3.9), ball security (15.2–16.7), offensive rebounding (33.1–31.3).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.5–51.2), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.9), strength of schedule (0.4–-0.7).

Final

New Mexico State

85—86

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 1 • 75.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

33-74FG29-57

45.0%FG%51.0%

7-253PT7-22

28.0%3PT%32.0%

12-16FT21-27

75.0%FT%78.0%

34Rebounds39

14Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists11

8Turnovers15

9Steals3

3Blocks5

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	39	13-24	1-6	7-8	7	1	0	1	34
Jayland Randall	G	25	5-11	4-8	0-0	6	0	2	0	14
Julius Mims	F	39	5-11	0-1	2-4	7	2	1	2	12
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	32	3-7	2-6	3-3	1	1	1	0	11
Gabe Pickens	G	33	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	3	3	0	4
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	26	2-5	0-1	0-1	5	0	2	0	4
Augustine Ekwe	C	10	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Chris Terrell	G	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Elijah Elliott	G	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Cyr Malonga	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahvin Carter	G	33	10-17	3-6	4-4	3	7	2	0	27
Torey Alston	F	37	6-8	0-0	5-9	11	0	0	2	17
Chris Loofe	F	38	2-3	0-0	6-8	12	0	0	1	10
Sean Smith	G	17	4-7	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	9
Marcus Whitlock Jr.	G	25	3-7	1-5	1-1	2	1	0	1	8
Kamari Lands	G	18	2-7	0-3	3-3	1	0	0	0	7
Tre Green	G	26	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Alec Oglesby	G	15	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
James Dent Jr.	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Luka Jovanovic	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.2Possessions75.2

113.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.4Defensive Efficiency113.0

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

49.3%Effective FG%57.0%

52.1%True Shooting %61.6%

10.6%Turnover Rate20.0%

21.6%Free Throw Rate47.4%

33.8%3-Point Rate38.6%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 75.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.