Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Oregon

77.4%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -342

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 69

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 77

Team Comparison

OregonMetricNorthwestern

48.9MMH Power Index55.4

106.4Offensive Efficiency111.6

110.7Defensive Efficiency109.8

-4.3Net Efficiency1.8

6.0Strength of Schedule5.6

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

66.7Tempo65.6

49.9%Effective FG%51.9%

17.8%Turnover Rate13.0%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.9%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-2.9Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–48.9), offensive efficiency (111.6–106.4), defensive efficiency (109.8–110.7), net efficiency (1.8–-4.3).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.0–5.6), offensive rebounding (31.6–28.2), free throw rate (36.9–34.8).

Final

Oregon

62—63

Northwestern

Northwestern by 1 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATNorthwestern

23-59FG25-56

39.0%FG%45.0%

7-193PT4-16

37.0%3PT%25.0%

9-12FT9-12

75.0%FT%75.0%

37Rebounds32

16Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists17

16Turnovers12

5Steals11

1Blocks7

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Bittle	C	39	8-13	1-3	2-3	9	3	1	0	19
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	31	4-11	2-3	5-5	15	1	0	1	15
Takai Simpkins	G	36	5-12	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	11
Wei Lin	G	14	2-7	1-3	1-2	0	2	0	0	6
Sean Stewart	F	24	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	3	2	0	4
Drew Carter	G	26	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	5	0	0	3
Jamari Phillips	G	13	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Dezdrick Lindsay	F	16	0-4	0-1	1-2	0	0	2	0	1
Luke Johnson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	39	8-18	0-2	6-8	11	7	3	1	22
Jayden Reid	G	33	5-11	1-3	0-0	1	7	3	0	11
Arrinten Page	F	31	4-9	0-3	1-2	4	0	4	3	9
Tre Singleton	F	23	3-7	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	6
Jake West	G	33	2-5	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Angelo Ciaravino	G	20	1-1	1-1	2-2	7	1	0	1	5
Jordan Clayton	G	14	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Tyler Kropp	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

97.3Offensive Efficiency98.9

98.9Defensive Efficiency97.3

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

44.9%Effective FG%48.2%

47.9%True Shooting %51.1%

24.7%Turnover Rate19.1%

20.3%Free Throw Rate21.4%

32.2%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.06Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.